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Summary
• Price range confined between 1.0001 and 1.0003 with no clear directional bias.
• Volume surged during key 5-min intervals, particularly in the early morning and afternoon ET.
• RSI remained in a neutral range, indicating no overbought or oversold conditions.
• No significant Bollinger Band breakouts occurred, showing low volatility.
• A bullish engulfing pattern briefly formed, but lacked follow-through buying.
At 12:00 ET on 2025-12-22, USDC/Tether (USDCUSDT) opened at 1.0001, reached a high of 1.0003, and closed at 1.0001 after trading within a narrow range. Total volume was 237,459,000 units with a notional turnover of approximately $47,491,800.
The price remained tightly clustered between 1.0001 and 1.0003 over the 24-hour period, forming multiple small bullish and bearish engulfing patterns, but none were confirmed by follow-through volume. A doji appeared around 03:15 ET, signaling indecision, though the price quickly returned to its range.

On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages remained closely aligned, hovering around 1.00015, indicating a neutral bias with no clear trend. Over the daily timeframe, the 50/100/200-period lines also remained tightly grouped, consistent with the continuation of a stable peg.
The MACD histogram showed minimal divergence between the two moving averages, suggesting weak momentum. The RSI remained between 48 and 52 for much of the session, confirming a balanced market with no overbought or oversold readings. A brief dip in RSI below 45 at 08:30 ET suggested short-term weakness but was quickly reversed.
Volatility remained subdued, with the price staying within the Bollinger Bands for the entire 24-hour period. The bands were relatively narrow, especially during the overnight hours, indicating a consolidation phase. No strong breakouts occurred, and price frequently bounced between the mid-band and the upper/lower bands.
Volume spiked significantly during key timeframes, including 02:15 ET and 07:45 ET, where large notional turnover occurred. Despite these spikes, the price remained range-bound, suggesting that most volume was associated with stable peg maintenance rather than speculative activity. There were no noticeable divergences between price and volume, and turnover remained proportional throughout.
On the 5-minute chart, Fibonacci levels were applied to the 1.0001–1.0003 range, with the 38.2% retracement at 1.00022 and the 61.8% at 1.00016. The price touched the 38.2% level a few times but failed to hold, reverting to the central range. No clear Fibonacci-based directional bias emerged over the session.
Over the next 24 hours, traders may see a continuation of the stable peg if liquidity remains consistent, but any divergence in volume or sudden increase in volatility could signal a potential shift in sentiment. Investors should monitor for any unexpected divergence between notional turnover and price, which could hint at structural shifts in the peg.
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