Market Overview: UNIUSDT Continues Downtrend Amid Strong Bearish Bias

Thursday, Jan 15, 2026 8:09 pm ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- UNIUSDT price dropped sharply below $5.40 support, hitting a 24-hour low of $5.318 amid record $13.3M turnover.

- Bearish momentum confirmed by RSI oversold levels, MACD divergence, and price below 20-period moving average.

- Expanded Bollinger Bands and 61.8% Fibonacci retest at $5.48 indicate continued downward pressure.

- Final 45-minute trading spike (157K units) validated bearish breakdown, with $5.28 as next potential target.

- Market consolidation between $5.40-$5.55 expected, requiring divergence in momentum indicators for reversal signals.

Summary
• Price declined sharply on strong volume, breaking below key support.
• RSI and MACD signal bearish momentum with no immediate signs of reversal.
• Volatility expanded as price hit a 24-hour low near $5.42 on heavy turnover.
• A bearish engulfing pattern formed after 17:00 ET, signaling continued pressure.
• Bollinger Bands expanded, and price remains below the 20-period moving average.

Uniswap/Tether (UNIUSDT) opened at $5.823 on 2026-01-14 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of $5.839, and closed at $5.412 by 2026-01-15 at 12:00 ET, with a low of $5.318. The 24-hour volume was 2,424,358.09, and notional turnover totaled $13,314,342.99.

Structure & Moving Averages


Price broke below the 50-period moving average on the 5-minute chart and appears to be consolidating near a key support zone at $5.40–$5.45. The 20-period MA currently sits above $5.55, reinforcing the bearish bias. Daily moving averages (50/200) remain unbroken but are showing signs of divergence if a short-term bounce occurs.

MACD & RSI


The MACD line remains below the signal line, with bearish momentum increasing since 18:00 ET. RSI has fallen into oversold territory at 32, though this is not typically a reliable reversal signal without volume confirmation. A rebound above $5.50 may delay further bearish extension.

Bollinger Bands and Volatility


Bollinger Bands have expanded significantly since 15:00 ET, reflecting heightened volatility. Price is trading near the lower band, suggesting exhaustion at this level. A pullback toward the mid-band could offer a temporary bounce but may not indicate a trend reversal.

Volume and Turnover


Trading volume spiked dramatically during the final 45 minutes of the 24-hour period, with a 5-minute bar near 157,807.00 units, the largest of the day. Notional turnover confirmed this with $859,522.91 in that same period. Price and volume moved in alignment, confirming the bearish breakdown.

Fibonacci Retracements


On the 5-minute chart, price has retested the 61.8% Fibonacci level at $5.48 with little resistance. Daily retracements suggest $5.40 as a critical support area. A break below this level could extend the move to the 78.6% retracement near $5.28.

The market may remain range-bound between $5.40 and $5.55 in the near term, with volume signaling strong bearish conviction. Traders should be cautious about short-term volatility and watch for divergence between price and momentum indicators as a potential reversal signal.