Summary
• Price fluctuated sharply from 0.00201 to 0.002412, closing near 0.002126.
• Volatility spiked midday, with volume peaking at 116,879,796
.
• RSI and MACD suggest overbought conditions earlier, followed by bearish divergence.
Opening at 0.00201 on 2025-11-07 12:00 ET, TURBOUSDC traded as high as 0.002412 before closing at 0.002126 on 2025-11-08 12:00 ET. Total volume for the 24-hour window reached 1,091,209,091 USDC, while turnover remained steady. The price action displayed clear signs of aggressive short-term volatility, including a bearish engulfing pattern around 17:15 ET on 2025-11-07.
Structure & Formations
Turbo/USDC experienced a strong upward thrust around 17:15 ET on 2025-11-07, reaching a high of 0.002412 before reversing with a bearish engulfing pattern. This reversal was confirmed by a significant drop to 0.00214 the following day. Notable support emerged around 0.00212–0.00214, with resistance forming near 0.00218–0.00220. A long-legged doji formed at 23:45 ET, signaling indecision and potential for another correction.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period MA crossed above the 50-period MA mid-morning, suggesting short-term bullish momentum. However, the 50 MA then pulled below the 20 MA by 19:00 ET, hinting at bearish pressure. On the daily chart, the 50 and 200-day MAs remain separated, with price trading above the 50 MA but below the 200 MA—indicating mixed sentiment between bullish and bearish forces.
MACD & RSI
The MACD histogram showed a strong bearish divergence after a short bullish phase, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line at 20:00 ET. RSI reached overbought territory (above 70) at 17:15 ET, confirming the short-lived bullish push. By 05:00 ET on 2025-11-08, RSI had dropped below 50, indicating a return to equilibrium and potential for further downside.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded significantly during the sharp upward move, pushing the price near the upper band. As the bearish reversal took hold, price collapsed toward the lower band, finding support at 0.00214. The narrowing of bands in the final 3–4 hours suggests a potential consolidation phase before a new breakout.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked sharply during the bearish reversal, confirming the move downward. The largest candle on 2025-11-07 17:15–17:30 recorded a turnover of 116,879,796 USDC. A divergence between rising volume and falling price around 06:15 ET indicated strong bearish conviction. Turnover remained relatively muted in the final 6 hours, suggesting a temporary pause in trading activity.
Fibonacci Retracements
Using the recent 15-minute swing high of 0.002412 and low of 0.00214, key Fibonacci levels of 0.00232 (38.2%) and 0.00222 (61.8%) were closely tested. Price held above the 61.8% level in the final candle, offering a potential floor for the next 24 hours. On the daily chart, a 61.8% retracement of the larger bearish move could be found near 0.00210, aligning with recent support.
Backtest Hypothesis
Given the bearish engulfing patterns and confirmed reversals, a backtesting strategy could focus on TURBOUSDC with a "enter-next-open, exit-next-close" rule for short trades. Testing this approach from 2022-01-01 through 2025-11-08 would require precise detection of these patterns and analysis of their performance across varying market conditions.
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