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Summary
• Price advanced from 43.18 to 43.75, forming a bullish trend with confirmed resistance at 43.98–44.00.
• Volume surged after the 04:00 ET peak, confirming strength, though a pullback to 43.60–43.70 suggests consolidation.
• RSI entered overbought territory above 70, with Bollinger Bands widening—volatility is rising as momentum builds.
TRON/Yen (TRXJPY) opened at 43.18 on 2025-12-14 12:00 ET and closed at 43.75 on 2025-12-15 12:00 ET, reaching a high of 43.98 and a low of 43.17. Total volume for the 24-hour period was 385,581.37 TRX, with a notional turnover of ¥17,339,781.18.
Structure & Formations
The 5-minute chart displayed a bullish continuation pattern with price breaking above 43.75 and holding above key support at 43.60–43.70. A strong engulfing pattern formed at 02:15 ET, pushing price toward the 43.98 high. A doji at 05:30 ET signaled brief indecision but was followed by a sharp rebound toward the day’s close.
Moving Averages and Momentum
On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages showed a bullish crossover, with price closing above both. The daily chart saw 50/100/200-period MAs aligning in a moderate uptrend. MACD remained in bullish territory with positive divergence, while RSI peaked above 75, suggesting overbought conditions and a possible pullback.
Volatility and Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands expanded significantly after the 04:00 ET volume spike, with price testing the upper band before consolidating in the lower half. Volatility contraction occurred briefly before 03:00 ET, followed by a sharp expansion as the price surged.
Volume and Turnover
Volume surged after the 04:00 ET high, confirming the 43.98 breakout. Turnover spiked in line with the price rally but began to normalize during the post-06:00 ET consolidation. A minor divergence in volume occurred between 05:15 and 06:15 ET, as price moved higher with relatively lower volume.
Fibonacci Retracements
Fibonacci levels on the 5-minute swing showed price finding support at 61.8% (43.60) and resistance at 38.2% (43.75). On the daily chart, price approached the 50% retracement level of the previous month's range, suggesting potential for a short-term correction or test of 44.00.
**
Forward-looking observation suggests that if support at 43.60–43.70 holds, further upside to 44.00 is possible. However, traders should remain cautious of a pullback if volume fails to confirm continued bullish momentum.
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