Market Overview for Treehouse/Tether (TREEUSDT) on 2025-10-08

• Treehouse/Tether (TREEUSDT) formed a bearish reversal pattern after a sharp intraday high of $0.2580 on 10/08.
• Price closed below key 0.2540 psychological level with a 1.4% decline in the final 24 hours.
• Volatility expanded early, but compressed in late trading, signaling potential consolidation.
• RSI hit overbought conditions midday but reversed to neutral territory by 10/08 12:00 ET.
• Bollinger Bands showed a midday expansion followed by contraction, indicating reduced momentum.

The Treehouse/Tether (TREEUSDT) pair opened at $0.2545 on 2025-10-07 at 12:00 ET and reached an intraday high of $0.2580 on 10/08 before correcting sharply to a low of $0.2465. It closed at $0.2509 on 2025-10-08 at 12:00 ET, with total trading volume amounting to 9,307,762.8 and a notional turnover of $2,333,686.40 across the 24-hour window.

Structure & Formations

Price action revealed a bearish reversal formation with a high of $0.2580 on 10/08, followed by a decisive breakdown to 0.2465. Key support levels emerged at $0.2505 and $0.2465, with resistance at $0.2520 and $0.2530. A doji formed at $0.2520, signaling indecision. A potential bullish engulfing pattern appears at $0.2525 to $0.2530, suggesting a short-term bounce may be in play if buyers re-engage above this level.

Moving Averages and MACD

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period MA crossed below the 50-period MA, indicating a bearish crossover. The 50-period MA remained above $0.2540, suggesting short-term bearish bias. MACD turned negative after midday, reflecting fading momentum. RSI moved from overbought levels to neutral, reinforcing the bearish momentum shift.

Bollinger Bands and RSI

Bollinger Bands widened during the early morning hours, aligning with heightened volatility, but began to contract by 10/08 07:00, indicating a slowdown in price movement. Price remained within the bands throughout the day, with no clear breakout signs. RSI’s transition from overbought to neutral territory suggests traders are taking profits or pausing accumulation.

Volume and Turnover

Volume spiked during the morning hours, particularly between 03:30 and 05:00 ET, as price fell below $0.2500. Turnover increased in tandem with this price drop, confirming bearish conviction. A divergence was observed in the afternoon when volume declined despite price staying in a narrow range, suggesting reduced participation. A potential divergence between price and volume may signal a reversal if buyers re-enter above $0.2520.

Fibonacci Retracements

Fibonacci levels applied to the 0.2465–0.2580 swing identified key retracement levels at 0.2528 (38.2%), 0.2554 (61.8%), and 0.2570 (78.6%). Price currently appears to be consolidating around the 38.2% retracement level. On the daily chart, the 0.2530–0.2580 move shows key retracements at 0.2550 and 0.2565. A break of 0.2520 could trigger a test of the next Fibonacci level at 0.2505.

Backtest Hypothesis

Applying a strategy that uses RSI (14) overbought (70) and oversold (30) levels, combined with a bearish crossover in the 50-period MA, shows potential in this 24-hour period. A long entry could be triggered when RSI dips below 30 and the 50-period MA begins to turn upward. A short entry would be activated when RSI rises above 70 and the 50-period MA turns downward. Given today’s data, such a strategy would have triggered a short signal around 04:00 ET and a long signal around 08:00 ET, with overall profitability dependent on risk management and stop-loss placement.

Forward-Looking View and Risk

Looking ahead, Treehouse/Tether appears to be in a consolidation phase with support at $0.2505 and resistance near $0.2520. A sustained break above $0.2520 could attract buyers, but a retest of the 0.2465 level remains a risk. Investors should remain cautious of potential bearish continuation, particularly if volume fails to confirm an upward reversal.