Market Overview for Toko Token/Rupiah (TKOIDR) on 2025-12-26

Summary
• Price broke below key support near 1375 and tested 1353.
• RSI and MACD indicate moderate bearish momentum with no overbought signs.
• Volatility expanded during the early hours of 2025-12-26 with large volume spikes.
• A bullish engulfing pattern emerged near 1360-1364.
• Price remains below all major moving averages, suggesting bearish bias.

Toko Token/Rupiah (TKOIDR) opened at 1383.53 on 2025-12-25 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of 1385.48, and a low of 1353.0, closing at 1368.51 at 12:00 ET. The 24-hour volume amounted to 173,492.2 and notional turnover reached approximately 235,209,753.65.

Structure & Formations

Price formed a bearish breakdown through key support at 1375, testing a lower level near 1353. A notable bullish engulfing pattern emerged between 06:00 and 06:15 ET on 2025-12-26 near 1360–1364, suggesting potential short-term recovery. A doji formed at 02:15 ET, signaling indecision after a sharp move up.

Moving Averages

The 20 and 50-period moving averages on the 5-minute chart remained bearish, with price consistently below both. On a daily chart, the 50, 100, and 200-period moving averages all show a downward bias, reinforcing the bearish trend.

MACD & RSI

MACD lines remained in negative territory, with bearish crossovers indicating sustained pressure. The RSI hovered below 50, pointing to moderate bearish momentum, and did not enter oversold territory despite the selloff, implying selling may not yet be exhausted.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded significantly during the early hours of 2025-12-26, with price moving wide outside the Bollinger Bands. By midday, volatility had contracted slightly, and price settled near the lower band, indicating a potential pause in the decline.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked dramatically during the selloff between 00:00 and 02:45 ET, coinciding with the breakdown below 1375. Turnover increased in tandem, confirming the price action. The bullish reversal at 06:00 ET saw a surge in volume, supporting the possibility of a short-term rebound.

Fibonacci Retracements

On the 5-minute chart, price found temporary support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level between 1385.48 and 1353.0 at around 1366–1367. On a daily basis, further support appears likely near 1340–1350 if the current pullback continues.

Price may test the 1360–1365 range for potential recovery in the short term, but a retest of 1353 or a breakdown below that level could signal further weakness. Investors should remain cautious of divergences in volume and momentum indicators as potential early warning signs of trend changes.