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Summary
• Price tested key resistance near 0.4465 but reversed lower, forming bearish engulfing patterns.
• RSI approached overbought levels earlier but now trends toward neutral territory, signaling potential exhaustion.
• Volume spiked during the early morning UTC dip to 0.4360, suggesting distribution at key support.
• Bollinger Bands show moderate contraction, hinting at a potential breakout or false move.
• 20-period moving average on the 5-min chart remains above price, reinforcing bearish bias.
At 12:00 ET on 2025-12-18, Tezos/Tether (XTZUSDT) opened at 0.4442, hit a high of 0.4511, a low of 0.4343, and closed at 0.4467. The 24-hour volume totaled 1,275,629.8 with a notional turnover of $564,734.28.
Structure & Formations
The price moved in a broad range between 0.4343 and 0.4511 over the past 24 hours, with key resistance forming near 0.4465 and 0.4510. A bearish engulfing pattern emerged just below 0.4465 in the early morning, followed by a doji at 0.4465, indicating indecision. The 0.4343 level acted as a strong support, particularly during the 05:15–05:30 UTC session.
Moving Averages
The 20-period moving average on the 5-minute chart remains above the current price, supporting a bearish bias in the short term. Daily moving averages (50/100/200) remain aligned above the recent lows, suggesting a stronger bearish tilt for the broader trend unless a sustained move above 0.4511 occurs.
MACD & RSI
The RSI reached overbought levels briefly near 0.4511 but has since pulled back toward neutral territory, suggesting momentum may be waning. MACD shows a bearish crossover in the 5-minute timeframe, reinforcing caution for further downside.
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Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands have contracted over the past 12 hours, suggesting a period of low volatility and a potential breakout. The price remains near the lower band, which could trigger a rebound if a bullish reversal forms near 0.4343–0.4360.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked significantly during the 05:15–05:30 UTC session as the price dipped to 0.4360, indicating heavy distribution at key support. However, notional turnover did not match this volume surge, suggesting weaker conviction in the move lower.
Fibonacci Retracements
Recent swings from 0.4343 to 0.4511 suggest key Fibonacci levels at 0.4426 (38.2%) and 0.4483 (61.8%). The price appears to be testing these levels with a potential retest of 0.4426 expected if the trend continues lower.
In the next 24 hours, a sustained move above 0.4483 could attract buyers, while a break below 0.4426 may trigger further distribution. Investors should remain cautious of potential divergences in volume and momentum.
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