Summary
• Price traded in a tight range (3.604–3.611) before retracing to 3.602 at 12:00 ET.
• Momentum slowed near key resistance levels, with RSI signaling potential overbought conditions.
• Volume surged near intraday high, but turnover failed to confirm sustained bullish pressure.
Tether/Zloty (USDTPLN) opened at 3.607 on December 14 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of 3.611, a low of 3.598, and closed at 3.602 on December 15 at 12:00 ET. The 24-hour volume totaled 215,840, with notional turnover amounting to 656.5 Zloty.
Structure & Formations
Price formed a bearish engulfing pattern near the 3.611 resistance level and subsequently pulled back, suggesting weakening bullish conviction. A doji appeared at 3.606 around 18:30 ET, signaling indecision. Key support levels emerged at 3.606 and 3.598, with the latter briefly tested and rejected.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, the price closed below both 20-period and 50-period moving averages, suggesting bearish momentum in the short term. Daily moving averages were not available, but the 24-hour action suggested a shift toward the 50-day line as a potential near-term floor.
MACD & RSI
MACD crossed below zero in the final hours of the 24-hour period, indicating a shift in momentum to the downside. RSI approached overbought conditions twice near 3.611, failing to hold above 70 each time. This divergence suggests a potential reversal could be in play.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded during the midday rally toward 3.611, with price briefly breaching the upper band. However, a contraction followed, as price settled within the bands in the final hours. This suggests a period of consolidation may be forming.
Volume & Turnover
Volume surged near the intraday high, peaking at 21,584 units during the 14:45 ET session, but turnover failed to match the strength of prior rallies, suggesting a lack of conviction. A divergence between volume and price could hint at a potential pullback.
Fibonacci Retracements
On the 5-minute chart, the 61.8% retracement level of the 3.598–3.611 move sat at 3.605, which price tested but failed to hold. On the daily chart, the 38.2% level at 3.603 was briefly broken before a retest occurred, indicating possible short-term support.
The pair appears to be entering a period of consolidation following a strong but unconfirmed rally. A break below 3.598 could extend the correction, while a retest of 3.611 may fail without stronger volume support. Investors should remain cautious, as volatility remains elevated and divergences hint at potential reversals.
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