Market Overview: Terra/Tether (LUNAUSDT) on 2025-12-25

Thursday, Dec 25, 2025 11:22 am ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- LUNAUSDT closed slightly lower at 0.1048 after a volatile 24-hour session with key resistance near 0.1065.

- Volatility peaked between 01:30–03:30 ET as volume surged to 794,382.9, but RSI failed to confirm overbought momentum.

- Bollinger Bands contracted overnight before a short-lived breakout, while Fibonacci levels at 0.1065 and 0.1046–0.1048 remained critical for near-term direction.

Summary
• Terra/Tether (LUNAUSDT) closed marginally lower after an early morning rally, with key resistance near 0.1065.
• Volatility expanded during the 24-hour period, with volume peaking in the 01:30–03:30 ET window.
• RSI signaled overbought conditions briefly, but failed to confirm with strong follow-through in price.
• Bollinger Bands showed a period of contraction overnight, followed by a price break above the upper band.
• A potential bullish engulfing pattern formed early in the session, but it was later negated by selling pressure.

Terra/Tether (LUNAUSDT) opened at 0.1051 on 2025-12-24 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of 0.1071, a low of 0.1041, and closed at 0.1048 at 12:00 ET on 2025-12-25. Total volume was 150,833,859.34, with a notional turnover of approximately $15.85 million.

Structure & Formations


LUNAUSDT encountered strong resistance around the 0.1065 level, which coincided with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the morning bullish move. Price also found support at 0.1046–0.1048, a level that had held multiple times throughout the session. A large bearish candle formed in the morning after a brief bullish breakout, indicating potential indecision among traders.

Technical Indicators

The 5-minute MACD crossed into positive territory during the morning rally but failed to maintain bullish momentum, suggesting a potential consolidation phase. RSI reached 68, signaling overbought territory, but failed to push beyond 70, which may indicate limited upside potential. On the 20/50 EMA 5-minute chart, price traded below the 20-period line, reinforcing the bearish bias.

Volatility & Bollinger Bands


Bollinger Bands experienced a narrowing period in the early hours, suggesting a potential breakout. However, the eventual breakout was short-lived, as price re-entered the band by midday. The expansion in volatility was most evident between 01:30 and 04:30 ET, coinciding with the highest volume and notional turnover for the session.

Volume and Turnover

Volume surged to a peak of nearly 794,382.9 at 07:45 ET, coinciding with a sharp move to 0.1057. This was followed by a significant drop in volume as the market consolidated. Notional turnover mirrored this pattern, with the highest turnover occurring in the early morning and tapering off as the session progressed.

Fibonacci Retracements


Fibonacci levels aligned with key resistance and support areas throughout the session. The 38.2% retracement level at 0.1056 was tested multiple times but failed to hold, while the 61.8% level at 0.1065 remained a key psychological barrier. These levels are likely to remain relevant in the near term as price action continues to test them.

LUNAUSDT appears to be entering a period of consolidation following a volatile 24-hour session. A break above 0.1065 could signal renewed bullish intent, but traders should remain cautious of short-term pullbacks. Investors should also monitor volume for signs of divergence ahead of the next 24-hour window.