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Summary
• Price declined from a 5-minute high of $0.00004541 to close at $0.00004045 amid bearish momentum.
• RSI and MACD signaled bearish divergence with a closing RSI reading below 30.
• Volatility tightened during the final hours, with price clustering near the 20-period MA.
• Bollinger Bands showed a contraction, hinting at a potential breakout or consolidation.
• Volume decreased in the last 6 hours, suggesting reduced conviction in the current move.
Terra Classic/Tether (LUNCUSDT) opened at $0.00004402 on 2025-12-31 12:00 ET, reached a 24-hour high of $0.00004651, a low of $0.00003974, and closed at $0.00004045 on 2026-01-01 12:00 ET. Total volume was ~2.48e+10, with a notional turnover of $1.30e+06.
Price Structure and Patterns
The 5-minute chart shows a bearish breakdown after a late-night rally, with a bearish engulfing pattern forming around 19:00 ET and a weak reversal attempt between 00:00 and 02:00 ET. The price has tested a key support level near $0.00004000 multiple times, most recently in the final 4 hours, suggesting a potential short-term pivot. No strong bullish signals have emerged since the initial bearish breakdown.
Momentum and Oscillators

Volatility and Bollinger Bands
Volatility has been narrowing in the last 6 hours, as seen in the tightening of Bollinger Bands. Price has been consolidating near the 20-period moving average and appears to be preparing for a potential breakout or continuation move. The 50-period moving average is above the current price, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Volume and Turnover
Volume has been declining over the past 6 hours, with the highest notional turnover occurring during the initial bearish breakdown. The volume/price divergence suggests weakening bearish conviction, but no immediate reversal is evident. The current low-volume environment indicates a lack of clear direction and could lead to choppy or range-bound trading.
Fibonacci Retracements
The 5-minute chart shows the price currently near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent bullish swing from $0.00003974 to $0.00004651. A break below $0.00004000 could target the 78.6% level at $0.00003857. On the daily chart, the 50/200-period MA alignment also suggests a bearish bias for the next 24 hours.
Traders may watch for a potential test of the $0.00004000 support level and a follow-through bearish move. A retest of the 20-period MA could offer a short-term bounce, but the overall bias remains bearish. Risk remains on the downside should volume pick up again.
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