Market Overview for Tensor/Tether (TNSRUSDT): 24-Hour Analysis as of 2025-09-26

• Tensor/Tether (TNSRUSDT) opened at $0.0973, reached a high of $0.0976, and closed at $0.0951 after a volatile 24-hour session.
• A sharp decline from $0.0973 to $0.0933 in the first hours signaled bearish momentum, though a partial recovery followed.
• Elevated volume in the early session confirmed the bearish move, while late-day buying interest capped the drop.
• A large bearish candle at the 2025-09-25 18:00 window and a doji near $0.0933 hinted at potential consolidation.
• RSI and MACD showed overbought conditions during rallies, but failed to confirm strong bullish sentiment.

Tensor/Tether (TNSRUSDT) opened at $0.0973 (12:00 ET − 1), hit a high of $0.0976, and closed at $0.0951 (12:00 ET) after a mixed 24-hour session. The pair traded between $0.0917 and $0.0976, with total volume of 9,588,654.2 and a notional turnover of $896,279.7. The price action suggests a bearish bias in the early session, followed by a partial recovery and consolidation in the final hours.

Key support levels formed around $0.0933 (confirmed by a doji) and $0.0943 (a swing base), with resistance at $0.0952 and $0.0960. A large bearish candle at $0.0958–$0.0939 (2025-09-25 18:00–18:15) marked a significant breakdown. The 15-minute chart shows the 20 and 50 SMA lines converging, suggesting a possible shift in trend. The 50 SMA is currently at $0.0948, and the 20 SMA at $0.0951, indicating a potential reversal or consolidation.

The RSI reached overbought territory during the late-day rally but failed to push above 60, hinting at weak conviction. The MACD crossed below the signal line early in the session and remained in bearish territory, with a negative histogram. Bollinger Bands were wide in the early hours, showing high volatility, and have since tightened, suggesting a potential break or consolidation. The price closed near the middle band at $0.0951, indicating indecision.

Fibonacci levels based on the $0.0973 to $0.0933 swing point suggest key levels at $0.0954 (38.2%), $0.0947 (50%), and $0.0940 (61.8%). These levels will be key to monitor for potential bounce or continuation of the decline.

Looking ahead, the next 24 hours may see a test of $0.0940 as a key support and $0.0955 as a short-term resistance. A close above $0.0955 could signal a temporary bullish trend, but bearish momentum remains intact unless volume and indicators confirm a reversal. Traders should remain cautious about overbought conditions during rallies and monitor for any divergence between volume and price.

Backtest Hypothesis: A potential strategy involves entering a short position on a break below the 50 SMA ($0.0948) with a stop above the 20 SMA ($0.0951) and targeting the 61.8% Fibonacci level at $0.0940. A long bias may emerge on a confirmed breakout above $0.0955 with increased volume and RSI above 50. The MACD and Bollinger Band squeeze could be used as triggers for trade entries. This strategy would be best suited for a 15-minute timeframe and requires strict risk management.