Summary
• SUIJPY broke below a key support level after a bearish engulfing pattern formed on the 5-minute chart.
• Momentum weakened as RSI approached oversold territory and MACD showed bearish divergence.
• Volatility expanded as price traded between Bollinger Bands, with volume surging during the selloff.
• A 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 227.8 appears to offer short-term resistance.
Market Overview
Sui/Yen (SUIJPY) opened at 232.48 at 12:00 ET − 1, reaching a high of 232.64 and a low of 222.72 before closing at 225.66 at 12:00 ET. Total volume amounted to 220,795.55 units, with a notional turnover of approximately $50.1 million over the 24-hour window.
Structure and Support/Resistance
The price action revealed a key breakdown below the 230.00 psychological level, confirmed by a bearish engulfing pattern and a doji at 223.05. Resistance now sits at 227.8 (38.2% Fib) and 229.92 (recent high), while support may hold near 224.22–224.80.
Moving Averages and Momentum
On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period moving average crossed below the 50-period line, reinforcing bearish momentum. The MACD histogram turned negative with a divergent peak near 228.92, while RSI approached 28, indicating a potential oversold condition.
Volatility and Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded as the 20-period Bollinger Bands widened, with price reaching the lower band near 222.88 before bouncing. The recent 5-minute consolidation around 224.5–225.1 suggests a potential consolidation phase, with the 20-period EMA offering a dynamic floor.
Volume and Turnover Analysis
Volume spiked during the 222.72 low, with over 35,000 units traded in one 5-minute interval. Despite a sharp drop in price, turnover remained elevated, suggesting continued interest. A divergence between falling price and stable turnover may hint at potential short-term buying pressure.
Over the next 24 hours, SUIJPY may test the 224.22–224.80 range as a potential support base. A sustained move above 227.8 could reignite bullish momentum, but a further breakdown below 224.22 would increase the risk of a test of 222.00. Investors should monitor volume dynamics and RSI for signs of a reversal or deepening bearish pressure.
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