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Summary
• Price consolidates near 1.0002, with 1.0001 and 1.0003 acting as short-term support and resistance.
• Volume and turnover surged after 02:00 ET, signaling increased liquidity and potential trend confirmation.
• A bullish breakout above 1.0003 may invite further upside, but a close below 1.0001 could trigger bearish follow-through.
StraitsX USD/Tether (XUSDUSDT) opened at 1.0001 on January 15 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of 1.0008, touched a low of 1.0001, and closed at 1.0008 by 12:00 ET on January 16. Total volume for the 24-hour period was 10,808,302.0 units, with a notional turnover of approximately 10,808,546.59 USD.
Price action showed a consolidation phase between 1.0001 and 1.0003 for most of the session, with a final bullish thrust pushing the high to 1.0008 after 07:15 ET.

Short-term moving averages (20 and 50-period on the 5-minute chart) remained aligned near 1.0001–1.0002, indicating a sideways bias. The 50-period daily MA was not in play due to the relatively stable nature of the pair. MACD showed a narrow histogram with a near-zero line, suggesting a lack of directional momentum. RSI briefly touched 70 late in the session, indicating overbought conditions but with no immediate reversal signal.
Bollinger Bands remained relatively narrow for most of the session, suggesting low volatility, but expanded significantly after 02:00 ET with the price moving closer to the upper band. This suggests a period of increased trading interest and volatility.
Volume spiked dramatically starting at 02:15 ET, reaching over 2.9 million units in a single 15-minute interval. Turnover spiked in tandem with volume, particularly after 06:45 ET when a large bullish move occurred. The volume and price action aligned, indicating a genuine demand surge rather than wash trading.
Applying Fibonacci to the 02:15–07:15 ET move, the 1.0003 level corresponds to the 61.8% retracement level, which may offer initial resistance. A break above 1.0008 could target the next Fibonacci extension of 1.0009 or higher.
The surge in volume and price at the end of the session appears to confirm a potential short-term bullish shift. However, the pair remains highly sensitive to liquidity shifts, and a pullback to 1.0001 could test the strength of the support. Investors may want to monitor the 1.0003 level for confirmation of a continuation or reversal in the near term.
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