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Summary
• Price action shows a bearish reversal pattern from 0.1220 after a 5-minute bullish impulse.
• RSI and MACD suggest fading momentum with potential oversold conditions forming near 0.1180–0.1190.
• Volume peaks near 0.1200–0.1220 confirm key price levels, while turnover diverges slightly from price during consolidation.
• Bollinger Bands reflect moderate volatility with price testing the lower band in the final hours.
• Fibonacci levels at 0.1189 and 0.1196 appear to offer short-term support and resistance.
StakeStone/Tether (STOUSDT) opened at 0.1236 on 2025-12-15 12:00 ET and closed at 0.1202 on 2025-12-16 12:00 ET, with a high of 0.1223 and low of 0.1176. Total 24-hour volume amounted to 6.24 million contracts, and notional turnover was $743.3k.
Structure & Formations
The 5-minute chart reveals a bearish engulfing pattern at the 17:00–17:15 ET window, signaling a short-term top near 0.1220.

Moving Averages and Volatility
On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages crossed bearishly, reinforcing the downtrend. Price has remained below the 50-period line since 19:45 ET. Bollinger Bands show moderate volatility, with the price hovering near the lower band during the final 6 hours of the window, indicating potential exhaustion in the short-term bear move.
Momentum and Divergences
The RSI has been trending downward, reaching oversold territory near 30 as price approached 0.1180. MACD lines flattened in the final hours, suggesting momentum is slowing. A divergence appears in the 05:15–08:45 ET window, where price made higher lows but MACD showed lower highs—this could precede a near-term bounce.
Volume and Turnover
Volume surged during the 17:00–18:15 ET window as price moved from 0.1220 to 0.1176, confirming the bearish impulse. Turnover spiked with the move above 0.1200–0.1220 but diverged from price during the consolidation phase, suggesting reduced conviction. Low-volume consolidation near 0.1180–0.1190 implies buyers may be testing the level.
Future Outlook
Price appears poised for a potential near-term bounce from 0.1180–0.1190, with 0.1202 as the immediate reentry target. Traders may watch for a break above 0.1206 as a potential reversal trigger. However, risks include a breakdown below 0.1180, which could trigger a retest of the 0.1176 low. As always, volume and divergence patterns will be key for confirming the next directional move.
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