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Summary
• Price drifted within a tight range, showing muted directional bias despite moderate volume.
• Key resistance appeared at 0.0003130–0.0003140, with price failing to break above multiple times.
• Strong support at 0.0003075–0.0003090 confirmed by recurring bullish consolidation.
Spell Token/Tether (SPELLUSDT) opened at 0.0003081 on 2025-11-08 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.0003126 on 2025-11-09 at 12:00 ET, with a high of 0.0003137 and a low of 0.0003016. Total volume for the 24-hour period was 509,186,273. Total turnover (notional value) amounted to $153,245.
The 15-minute chart displayed limited directional momentum, with price confined in a range-bound pattern. Notable bullish engulfing and inside bars emerged around key support levels, suggesting potential buying interest. However, price lacked sufficient follow-through to break out beyond 0.0003135, which acted as an upper ceiling.
Moving averages (20-period and 50-period) on the 15-minute chart showed a flattening trend, with no clear separation between the two. On the daily chart, the 50-period SMA is below the 100-period and 200-period lines, indicating a potential bearish bias on the broader time frame, though intraday volatility suggests a reversal could be imminent.
MACD on the 15-minute chart showed a narrowing histogram with the line near zero, reflecting low momentum and indecision. RSI oscillated between 45 and 55, showing a neutral territory without overbought or oversold signals. Bollinger Bands were relatively narrow, indicating low volatility, with price staying close to the midband. This suggests a possible expansion in volatility ahead.
Volume spiked during key support and resistance tests, particularly around 0.0003100–0.0003120. Notional turnover aligned with volume, showing no divergence. Fibonacci retracement levels on the recent 15-minute swing indicated 0.0003078 (61.8%) as a potential support level, which held firm during price tests.

Backtest Hypothesis
The provided backtesting strategy focuses on identifying bullish engulfing patterns and holding the trade for three trading days. Given the neutral RSI and range-bound MACD observed in this 24-hour period, the likelihood of encountering a confirmed bullish engulfing pattern would be low unless a breakout above 0.0003135 is confirmed. However, given the support at 0.0003075–0.0003090, a short-term bounce could potentially trigger such a pattern. The strategy would benefit from additional stop-loss and take-profit parameters to filter noise, particularly in range-bound conditions. Further testing against benchmarks like HOLD.P could provide a clearer view of relative performance.
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