Summary
• Price declined from 1.688e-05 to 1.699e-05, with volatility increasing mid-day.
• RSI showed oversold conditions in the morning before rebounding.
• Volume spiked near 1.693e-05 and 1.702e-05, indicating key price inflection points.
• 1.693e-05 and 1.702e-05 appear as key support and resistance levels.
• Bollinger Bands widened after 06:00 ET, reflecting increased uncertainty.
Market Overview
Solv Protocol/BNB (SOLVBNB) opened at 1.688e-05 on 2025-11-11 at 12:00 ET and closed at 1.71e-05 by 12:00 ET on 2025-11-12. During the 24-hour period, the pair reached a high of 1.743e-05 and a low of 1.656e-05. Total volume amounted to 16,918,877.0, and notional turnover hit 2.948. Total volume and turnover suggest increased activity amid a volatile session.
Structure & Formations
The 15-minute chart showed several key levels forming. Notably, a bullish engulfing pattern emerged near 1.702e-05 in the morning, followed by a doji near 1.695e-05 in the afternoon, indicating indecision among traders. Price found temporary support at 1.693e-05 and resistance at 1.702e-05 repeatedly, forming potential key levels for future action.
Moving Averages
The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart were both bearish, with the 20-period slightly above the 50-period. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA crossed below the 100-period and 200-period MAs, suggesting a continuation of downward momentum.
MACD & RSI
MACD lines showed bearish divergence early in the session, with a bearish crossover occurring around 18:00 ET. RSI fell into oversold territory below 30 for over two hours but did not trigger a strong reversal. The RSI then showed a weak rebound, indicating a lack of strong buyer momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands expanded significantly after 06:00 ET, confirming increased volatility. Price traded near the upper band at 1.743e-05 and briefly touched the lower band at 1.656e-05. The widened bands suggest a high probability of continuation or consolidation in the short term.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked significantly near 1.693e-05 and 1.702e-05, reinforcing the support and resistance levels. Turnover spiked concurrently with volume, indicating strong conviction on key price levels. Price and turnover aligned well, suggesting no divergence and stronger confirmation of the key levels.
Fibonacci Retracements
Fibonacci retracement levels applied to the recent 15-minute swing identified 1.693e-05 (38.2%), 1.697e-05 (50%), and 1.702e-05 (61.8%) as critical support and resistance levels. Price held above 1.693e-05 for most of the session, indicating moderate support strength.
Backtest Hypothesis
To further validate these observations, a backtesting strategy could be employed using the 20-day low and 20-day high as dynamic support and resistance levels. This method could help identify key entry and exit points for a potential trading strategy on SOLVBNB. By applying these levels alongside RSI and MACD signals, a mechanical trading approach could be tested from 2022-01-03 through the current date. This would allow for an evaluation of how well the price action aligns with the identified indicators during volatile sessions.
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