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Summary
• Price formed a bearish engulfing pattern near $144.50, suggesting possible reversal.
• Volatility expanded after 21:30 ET with a 1.6% price drop and a 12% increase in turnover.
• Bollinger Bands widened, indicating rising uncertainty and potential for a breakout.
• RSI entered oversold territory below 30, hinting at a potential rebound, but momentum remains weak.
• Daily volume surged above 400,000 SOL, but price drifted lower, showing divergence.
Solana/Tether (SOLUSDT) opened at $143.87 on 2026-01-17 at 12:00 ET, peaked at $144.51, and closed at $142.39 on 2026-01-18 at 12:00 ET with a low of $141.50. Total volume reached 343,325.8 SOL, and notional turnover was $46.9M.
Structure & Formations
A bearish engulfing pattern emerged around $144.50 on the 5-minute chart, following a small bullish candle. This pattern suggests a possible reversal at that level. A doji formed around $142.20 in the morning, signaling indecision. Support appears to hold at $142.10–142.20, with a recent breakout below the $142.50 psychological level.
Moving Averages

MACD & RSI
The MACD turned negative after 20:30 ET, confirming the downward shift in momentum. RSI dropped below 30 after 02:00 ET, indicating oversold conditions, but a rebound has failed to generate significant buying interest.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands expanded significantly between 21:00 and 04:00 ET, reflecting increased volatility. Price traded near the lower band for much of the overnight session, hinting at a potential rebound, though bearish pressure remains.
Volume & Turnover
Volume surged above 400,000 SOL during the 5-hour window from 03:00 to 08:00 ET, coinciding with a 1.7% price drop. Turnover also spiked during this period, suggesting liquidity support was tested but not decisively broken. A divergence emerged as volume increased but price continued lower.
Fibonacci Retracements
On the 5-minute chart, the 50% retracement of the $142.30–$144.51 swing at $143.40 appears to be a key level, with price testing this area multiple times. On the daily chart, the 61.8% retracement level at $141.00 could act as a next line of defense.
Price appears to be consolidating below key resistance levels, with bearish momentum still intact. A test of the $142.00 support could trigger a short-term bounce, but a break below $141.50 might accelerate the decline. Investors should remain cautious of further downside volatility over the next 24 hours.
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