Market Overview: Sleepless AI/Bitcoin (AIBTC) – 24-Hour Technical Summary

• AIBTC opened at 1.11e-06 and traded between 1.08e-06 and 1.14e-06, closing at 1.14e-06.
• Price tested key levels multiple times, with a bearish breakout followed by a bullish recovery in the final hours.
• Volatility expanded as volume spiked toward the close, but turnover remained relatively low.
• RSI indicated a shift toward overbought levels in the last hour, while MACD signaled bullish momentum.
• No strong candlestick patterns emerged, though a bullish reversal hint appeared near the 24-hour close.

At 12:00 ET on September 24, 2025, Sleepless AI/Bitcoin (AIBTC) opened at 1.11e-06, traded a low of 1.08e-06 and a high of 1.14e-06, and closed at 1.14e-06. Total volume amounted to 358,430.2, and notional turnover stood at approximately $401.00. Price action showed a bearish breakdown attempt followed by a strong late-session recovery, suggesting possible short-term bullish momentum.

Structure & Formations

Key support levels were observed at 1.08e-06 and 1.1e-06, while resistance emerged at 1.11e-06 and 1.14e-06. Price tested the 1.08e-06 support twice with a bearish pinocchio candle on the 03:30 ET 15-minute bar. A bullish recovery was led by a large-bodied bullish candle at 15:00 ET. No clear reversal patterns formed, but a hint of a bullish harami was seen near the close.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, price closed above the 20-period and 50-period moving averages, indicating a short-term bullish bias. For the daily chart, 50-period, 100-period, and 200-period moving averages are aligned slightly lower than the 24-hour close, suggesting a potential consolidation phase.

MACD & RSI

MACD turned positive late in the session with a strong bull signal emerging at the 15:00 ET bar, confirming the final bullish breakout. RSI climbed into overbought territory at the close, hitting a 24-hour high of 68. This suggests momentum could be overextended, but also indicates a strong short-term reversal may be possible if price holds above 1.11e-06.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded significantly in the final 2 hours of the 24-hour period, with price swinging between the upper and lower bands. A notable contraction occurred in the early hours, followed by a breakout. Price ended the period near the upper band, suggesting a continuation of the bullish momentum could be underpinned by a further move into overbought territory.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked to a session high of 38,597.9 at the 15:00 ET bar, coinciding with the bullish breakout. Turnover, however, remained relatively low, with no significant divergences observed. This suggests the volume spike may not be accompanied by a strong price reaction, but rather a consolidation after a breakout.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracements to the 03:30–15:00 ET swing, the 61.8% retracement level coincided with the 1.11e-06 level, which was tested and held. The 1.14e-06 close aligns with the 78.6% retracement level, indicating that further bullish movement may face resistance above that level.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtest strategy could involve entering long positions on a bullish breakout above 1.11e-06 with a stop loss placed below 1.1e-06. This would align with the 61.8% Fibonacci level and the 50-period moving average. A target could be set at 1.14e-06 or higher based on the recent volatility expansion and RSI overbought condition. The MACD and volume signals also support a short-term bullish setup.