Market Overview for SEIBNB on 2025-09-15

• Price formed a bullish rebound from key support near 0.0003565 and reversed higher.
• Volatility increased with a Bollinger Band expansion and rising RSI momentum.
• A breakout above 0.0003611 confirmed a short-term reversal, with volume surging to over 6,500.
• Macd crossover and 20-period MA confirmed strength as price closed above the 50-period MA.
• Downturns showed bearish divergences, while a bullish 61.8% Fibonacci retracement was in play.

At 12:00 ET − 1 (2025-09-14 12:00), SEIBNB opened at 0.0003576 and traded between 0.0003564 and 0.0003615 over the next 24 hours. Price closed at 0.0003615, up 1.1%. The total volume reached 18,012.5 and turnover increased to 6.39 BNB-equivalent.

Structure & Formations

Key support was identified at 0.0003565, where a significant bounce and volume spike occurred. A bullish reversal pattern emerged around 00:00 ET, with a strong 60.3-volume candle closing higher. A 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 0.0003597 and a 61.8% level at 0.0003606 were both tested and confirmed. A bullish engulfing pattern formed at 05:30 ET, marking a potential bottom.

Moving Averages

The 20-period MA on the 15-minute chart crossed above the 50-period MA early in the session, confirming a short-term bullish trend. The 50-period daily MA acted as a dynamic support during the overnight consolidation phase, with price closing above it. A golden cross is forming with increasing strength.

MACD & RSI

MACD showed a positive crossover around 17:15 ET and remained above the signal line throughout the session, indicating bullish momentum. RSI moved into overbought territory at 63.5, peaking near 70 but showing no signs of exhaustion. A bearish divergence was observed during the dip at 20:00 ET, but it was quickly invalidated by a rebound in both volume and price.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded in the afternoon, pushing price to the upper band near 0.0003611. After a brief consolidation, the price broke above the band and remained elevated until the close. The width of the bands increased by 15%, suggesting heightened interest and potential trend continuation.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked at key inflection points, especially at 17:15 ET (6501.2) and 05:30 ET (93.0), confirming breakout and reversal patterns. Turnover was consistent with the volume action, showing no signs of divergence. A significant drop in volume was observed after 19:00 ET, indicating a temporary pause in momentum.

Fibonacci Retracements

A key Fibonacci level at 0.0003597 was tested during the overnight recovery and served as a pivot point. The 61.8% level at 0.0003606 acted as a dynamic resistance, which was eventually broken after a strong bullish push from 04:00 ET. The price has now entered the 78.6% zone, suggesting potential for a continuation or consolidation.

Backtest Hypothesis

The backtesting strategy is based on a combination of volume-weighted Fibonacci retracement and MACD divergence. The hypothesis involves entering long positions when the price breaks above the 61.8% Fibonacci level with a positive MACD and confirmed volume surge. A trailing stop-loss is set below the 50-period MA with a 1% slippage buffer. This strategy aims to capture short-term trending moves after a consolidation phase.