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Summary
• Price declined from 17.76 to 17.63 before recovering to 17.88, forming a bullish reversal pattern.
• Key support was tested at 17.54, with a 17.63–17.72 consolidation likely ahead.
• Volatility expanded after 05:45 ET, with a 17.85–17.87 high on strong volume.
• RSI indicated overbought conditions near 17.88, suggesting possible pullback.
Sei/Yen (SEIJPY) opened at 17.76 on December 19, reached a high of 17.88 and a low of 17.54 before closing at 17.88 on December 20 at 12:00 ET. Total volume was 189,894.0 units, with turnover amounting to 3,327,729.20 Yen.
Structure & Formations
The price declined sharply from 17.76 to 17.63 during the overnight session, followed by a sharp rebound, forming a potential bullish reversal pattern. Key support appeared at 17.54, where price bounced, and a consolidation zone between 17.63 and 17.72 developed. A strong bullish candle closed at 17.85–17.87 on moderate volume, suggesting further upward movement may follow.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, the price has closed above both the 20- and 50-period moving averages, indicating short-term bullish momentum. If the 17.72 level holds, it could confirm a more sustainable uptrend.
MACD & RSI
The MACD showed positive divergence during the recovery phase, with the line crossing above zero as bullish momentum returned.

Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded after 05:45 ET as price moved above the upper Bollinger band at 17.87. The current range appears to have widened, and a retest of the 17.72–17.85 zone could signal continuation or exhaustion.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked during the 05:45–06:00 ET period, coinciding with the move to 17.85–17.87, providing confirmation of the bullish breakout. However, turnover has since declined, suggesting that buying pressure may be moderating.
Fibonacci Retracements
A 5-minute swing from 17.63 to 17.88 suggests a 61.8% retracement at 17.75–17.77, which aligns with the consolidation observed in the early morning. If the price breaks above 17.87, the next Fibonacci target would be 17.96.
The market appears to be consolidating bullish momentum following the morning breakout, but overbought conditions and moderate volume may limit further gains in the short term. Traders may watch for a retest of 17.72–17.75 as a potential setup for the next 24 hours. As always, caution is advised due to the high volatility and potential for sharp corrections in either direction.
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