Market Overview for Secret/Bitcoin (SCRTBTC) – 2025-09-18

• Secret/Bitcoin (SCRTBTC) edged higher over 24 hours, forming a bullish bias amid limited volatility.
• Price remained within a tight range, with key support near 1.53e-06 and resistance at 1.55e-06.
• Low volume during most of the session suggests lack of conviction, with spikes seen during key breakouts.
• Momentum indicators remained neutral, with RSI hovering near mid-range, suggesting no overbought/oversold conditions.
• Bollinger Bands showed a slight expansion during the late session, indicating increasing short-term volatility.

The Secret/Bitcoin (SCRTBTC) pair opened on 2025-09-17 at 1.49e-06 and closed at 1.54e-06 on 2025-09-18 at 12:00 ET, with a high of 1.56e-06 and a low of 1.48e-06 over the period. The total 24-hour volume amounted to 128,441.0 units, with a notional turnover of approximately 195.9 BTC (based on weighted average price). The pair has shown a modest upward drift, with price consolidating between key psychological levels and forming a potential bullish flag pattern.

Over the past 24 hours, SCRTBTC remained range-bound within a narrow corridor, with key support forming at 1.53e-06 and resistance at 1.55e-06. A bullish flag pattern may be emerging, with the consolidation phase following a sharp rise in volume and price during the late evening to early morning hours. The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart remain in close alignment, suggesting a flat trend, while daily moving averages (50/100/200) indicate a neutral to slightly bullish tilt. No clear reversal candlestick patterns were observed, though the price action showed consolidation with no large dojis, indicating market indecision.

MACD remained in the neutral zone for most of the session, with a small positive divergence observed in the final hours, suggesting a potential shift in momentum. RSI hovered between 45–55 for most of the session, reinforcing the idea of market equilibrium. Bollinger Bands reflected a slight expansion in the latter half of the day, particularly from 22:00 to 06:00 ET, indicating a rise in short-term volatility. The price action stayed within the bands without testing the upper or lower boundaries, suggesting continued sideways movement without a breakout.

Volume and notional turnover spiked during the 19:15–22:45 ET period, coinciding with the formation of a key high at 1.56e-06. This suggests increased interest in the pair during that window. However, volume declined sharply after 23:45 ET, with price consolidating into a narrow range. No significant divergences between volume and price were observed, though the muted volume in the final 8 hours of the session indicates reduced participation. Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent 1.48e-06 to 1.56e-06 swing show 1.54e-06 as a 61.8% retracement level, where the price currently resides, suggesting a potential area of consolidation before a possible breakout.

Backtest Hypothesis
A potential backtesting strategy could involve entering long positions when SCRTBTC breaks above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (1.54e-06) with confirmation via a bullish close above the 20-period moving average on the 15-minute chart. A stop-loss could be placed below the 50-period moving average or the recent consolidation low of 1.53e-06. The MACD histogram turning positive could serve as a timing filter for entry. The target would be the next Fibonacci level at 1.55e-06 or the upper Bollinger Band. This strategy would aim to capture a potential breakout after a period of consolidation, leveraging both trend and momentum signals.