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Summary
• Price action broke below key support at 0.3600, with bearish engulfing patterns at 18:30 ET.
• MACD turned negative, RSI signaled oversold conditions after a sharp decline.
• Bollinger Bands widened mid-session, indicating increased volatility.
• Volume spiked during the breakdown, confirming bearish momentum.
• Fibonacci 61.8% level at 0.3575 could offer temporary support in the near term.
24-Hour Market Snapshot
At 12:00 ET–1, SafePal/Tether (SFPUSDT) opened at 0.3613 and traded between 0.3647 (high) and 0.3569 (low) before closing at 0.3643 at 12:00 ET today. Total 24-hour volume was approximately 187,460 units, with a notional turnover of roughly $67,765.76.
Key Technical Insights
Structure & Patterns

Moving Averages & Momentum
On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages were in a bearish crossover by mid-afternoon, reinforcing downward momentum. MACD turned negative during the breakdown and remained in bearish territory, with a bearish crossover of the signal line. RSI dropped below 30 at 04:00 ET, indicating oversold conditions, but has since recovered slightly.
Volatility & Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands expanded sharply during the breakdown, reaching a width of 0.006 by 20:30 ET. Price remained below the middle band for most of the session, with a brief move into the upper band at the end of the day. This suggests a possible short-term rebound, but volatility remains elevated.
Volume and Turnover
Volume spiked during the breakdown phase, particularly between 18:30 and 20:00 ET, confirming the bearish move. Turnover also surged during these hours, aligning with the price action. However, volume declined significantly after 04:00 ET, suggesting weakening bearish momentum.
Short-Term Outlook
While
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