Summary
• Rune/Tether consolidated between 0.672–0.685, with key resistance at 0.68 and support near 0.675.
• Volume surged near 0.681–0.683, confirming short-term bullish momentum before a pullback.
• RSI signaled overbought conditions mid-day, followed by a bearish divergence in the late session.
• Price retested Bollinger Band midpoints during low-volatility periods and spiked to the upper band during volume surges.
• A large bullish engulfing pattern formed at 0.676–0.681, indicating potential for a counter-trend rally.
The Rune/Tether pair (RUNEUSDT) opened at 0.666 on 2026-01-16 at 17:00 ET, reached a high of 0.683, and closed at 0.674 on 2026-01-17 at 12:00 ET. Total 24-hour volume was 1,639,772.0 units, with a notional turnover of approximately $1,111,528.50.
Structure & Formations
Price action displayed a bullish consolidation phase between 0.675 and 0.681, marked by a large engulfing candle that formed between 0.676–0.681. Key resistance levels held at 0.68, 0.683, and 0.685, while support was tested but held at 0.675 and 0.672. A bearish divergence formed in the late session after RSI hit overbought levels, suggesting potential reversal.
Moving Averages and Momentum
On the 5-minute chart, the 20SMA and 50SMA crossed positively during the morning session, supporting the short-term upward move. However, the 50SMA began to flatten by late afternoon, signaling weakening momentum. The MACD showed a bullish crossover early in the day, but the histogram began to contract in the afternoon, hinting at a loss of upward energy.
Volatility and Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded during the 0.676–0.681 rally, with price reaching the upper Bollinger Band. During consolidation periods, volatility contracted, indicating a possible range-bound phase. Price action retested the mid-Bollinger Band multiple times, with mixed success, suggesting a potential breakout attempt in the next 24 hours.
Volume and Turnover
Volume surged during the midday rally, peaking at 243,181.3 units, with a corresponding spike in notional turnover. This volume confirmed the strength of the rally but diverged as price pulled back in the afternoon. Turnover declined in the late session despite price action, indicating weaker conviction among buyers.
Fibonacci Retracements
Key Fibonacci levels from the 0.666–0.681 move included 0.675 (38.2%) and 0.672 (61.8%). Price found support at both levels, with the 61.8% level holding strongly in the late session. A further retest of 0.675 may set up a potential 50% retracement scenario at 0.676.5.
Rune/Tether appears to be in a consolidation phase ahead of potential breakout. Traders should watch for a break above 0.68 or a retest of 0.672 for directional clarity. Market participants may want to remain cautious as divergence in the late session suggests potential for a pullback in the next 24 hours.
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