Market Overview for Rocket Pool/USDC (RPLUSDC) on 2025-09-22

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• Rocket Pool/USDC (RPLUSDC) traded in a bearish range, closing 7.4% below its 24-hour high at 5.29.
• A massive bearish divergence and high-volume sell-off emerged after 6:15 AM ET, signaling strong downside momentum.
• RSI and MACD indicate oversold territory, with prices hovering near 1.5% of the lower Bollinger Band.
• Volume spiked over 100x at the key swing low, suggesting potential short-term support at ~5.25.
• Fibonacci retracement levels suggest a possible bounce near 5.32–5.34 if buyers re-enter.

At 12:00 ET–1 on 2025-09-21, Rocket Pool/USDC (RPLUSDC) opened at 6.05, reached a high of 6.10, and a low of 5.11 during the 24-hour period. The pair closed at 5.29 at 12:00 ET on 2025-09-22. Total trading volume over the period was 18,214.21, and notional turnover was 102,765.13.

The pair experienced a sharp and sustained breakdown, with a key bearish pivot forming around 6:15 AM ET. A massive candle on that interval—with a high of 5.59 and a close at 5.38—marked the start of the selloff. Over the next 9 hours, the pair continued to slide, finding a 24-hour low of 5.11. While the selloff was aggressive, the last 6 hours have seen a consolidation around the 5.25–5.37 range, hinting at potential support and a possible short-term reversal.

Key support appears at 5.25–5.28, with a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the major swing from 5.11 to 5.38 landing near this area. Resistance is forming at 5.34–5.37, where multiple 15-minute candles have stalled or reversed. The RSI (14) is currently in oversold territory (around 28), suggesting some potential for a near-term rebound, but the MACD shows bearish momentum with both the line and signal below zero.

Bollinger Bands are wide open, with price sitting near the lower band, suggesting high volatility. Volatility may consolidate over the next 24 hours, but unless a clear breakout or reversal pattern emerges, the pair may remain in a range-bound environment. The next few hours will be key for identifying whether accumulation is building at current levels or if further distribution is underway.

The backtesting strategy described aims to identify high-probability reversal setups in pairs showing strong divergence in volume and price. For Rocket Pool/USDC, a potential entry could be triggered if the price closes above the 5.34 resistance with increasing volume and a bullish candlestick pattern such as a hammer or a bullish engulfing. Stops could be placed just below 5.28. If this strategy were to be tested, it would require a minimum of 15 minutes of confirmation and should be assessed with strict risk management rules due to the high volatility observed in this pair.