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Summary
• Price formed a bullish engulfing pattern near 2.317–2.335, suggesting potential short-term reversal.
• Volatility expanded mid-session with a 2.28–2.40 range, but volume failed to confirm the upside break above 2.399.
• RSI showed overbought conditions at 2.40, followed by a pullback to 2.32, indicating a bearish correction could be in progress.
• Bollinger Bands widened in the morning, compressing after 12:00 ET, signaling a possible consolidation period.
At 12:00 ET on 2026-01-10, Render/Tether (RENDERUSDT) opened at 2.329, reached a high of 2.406, a low of 2.235, and closed at 2.327. The 24-hour volume was 3,407,254.26 and notional turnover totaled 7,822,515.38 USDT.
Structure and Candlestick Patterns
The pair formed a bullish engulfing pattern near 2.317–2.335 after a prolonged bearish move, indicating a possible near-term reversal. A bearish harami emerged at 2.34–2.335, signaling indecision ahead of a key resistance zone. A morning doji at 2.335 and a late session spinning top at 2.327 suggest reduced conviction on both bullish and bearish sides.
Moving Averages and Trend Context
On the 5-minute chart, price recently closed below the 20-period and 50-period moving averages, indicating short-term bearish momentum. The 50-period line is at 2.34, with the 100- and 200-period lines slightly above at 2.35–2.36, reinforcing a broader bearish bias.

Momentum and Overbought/Oversold Levels
RSI fluctuated between 40 and 70, with a brief overbought peak at 72 when price touched 2.406. The indicator quickly declined to the mid-50s, indicating short-lived bullish momentum. MACD crossed into negative territory late in the session, suggesting bearish pressure is increasing.
Volatility and Bollinger Band Behavior
Volatility spiked after 18:00 ET when the price moved from 2.258 to 2.406, with Bollinger Bands expanding to reflect the range. A subsequent consolidation period saw bands contract by 12:00 ET, indicating a possible pause in directional movement. Price closed just above the midline, suggesting a neutral short-term stance.
Volume and Turnover Analysis
Volume peaked at 195,565.10 units during a strong upward move to 2.351 but failed to confirm further strength above 2.399. Turnover aligned with volume peaks, with a large spike of 459,410.12 USDT during the 10:00 ET break. A divergence between price and volume was noted after 14:45 ET as the price declined despite steady turnover.
Fibonacci Retracements and Key Levels
Key 5-minute retracements include 61.8% at 2.337 and 38.2% at 2.273, which appear to have offered temporary support. On the daily chart, the 61.8% retracement of the recent leg down lies at 2.322, closely aligned with today’s close. A break above 2.35 would test the 2.368 level, the prior high.
The market may continue to consolidate in the coming 24 hours with limited directional bias. Investors should monitor the 2.34 level for a potential short-term reversal. A break below 2.32 could test support at 2.273.
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