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Summary
• Price dropped from $1.617 to $1.579 over 24 hours, forming bearish patterns and breaking key support.
• Volume surged near the close, suggesting possible accumulation or panic selling.
• RSI entered oversold territory near $1.575 but lacks confirmation of a reversal.
• Bollinger Bands narrowed during consolidation, then expanded with a sharp drop below the 20SMA.
• 50SMA and 20SMA on the 5-minute chart both bearish, reinforcing the downward bias.
Render/Tether (RENDERUSDT) opened at $1.612 on December 6, 2025, hit a high of $1.626, and closed at $1.579 as of 12:00 ET on December 7. The pair traded in a range of $1.529–$1.626, with total volume of 380,853.43 and a notional turnover of $614,523.76.
Structure & Moving Averages
The 5-minute chart shows the 20SMA and 50SMA both trending lower, reinforcing the bearish bias. A key support level appears to be forming around $1.575–$1.579, where the price has bounced twice. On the daily chart, the 50SMA may offer some near-term resistance if the pair stabilizes. The $1.60–$1.61 level appears to be a critical area for potential bearish breakdowns.
MACD and RSI
The 12-hour period saw the MACD trend sharply lower, with the signal line crossing below it, signaling bearish momentum.

Bollinger Bands and Volatility
Volatility expanded sharply as the price dropped below the 20SMA and into the lower Bollinger Band. A consolidation phase occurred around $1.605–$1.609 before the decline accelerated, indicating increased uncertainty among traders. The recent price action appears to be driven by increased selling pressure and a lack of buyers at higher levels.
Volume and Turnover
Volume spiked near the $1.575–$1.579 range, with a sharp increase in turnover at the close. This suggests heightened participation, potentially indicating either panic selling or accumulation at lower levels. The divergence between price and volume is notable—higher volume typically confirms a move, but the sustained drop below key levels suggests bearish conviction.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci to the recent 5-minute swing high at $1.626 and the low at $1.529 shows the 38.2% retracement at $1.589 and the 61.8% at $1.578. The price is currently consolidating near the 61.8% level, suggesting it may find short-term support or continue the decline if buyers fail to step in.
A potential rebound could form if the price holds above $1.575, but a break below this level may accelerate the move toward $1.56–$1.55. Investors should monitor the 50SMA and 61.8% Fibonacci level for signs of stability or further weakness. A volatile session is likely in the next 24 hours.
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