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Summary
• Price dropped from $2.022 to $1.887 amid bearish momentum.
• RSI and MACD signaled oversold conditions, with volume surging near key support.
• Bollinger Bands contracted early, then expanded as volatility increased.
Render/Tether (RENDERUSDT) opened at $2.003 on 2025-11-05 at 12:00 ET, peaked at $2.034, and closed at $1.887 at 12:00 ET on 2025-11-06. Total volume was 1,461,487.83, with a notional turnover of $2.88 million. The pair has shown a clear bearish trend over the 24-hour period, marked by declining price action and strong bearish momentum.
Key support levels formed around $1.94–$1.96 and $1.89–$1.90, while resistance levels were identified near $1.99–$2.01 and $2.02–$2.04. A notable engulfing bearish candle appeared around 2025-11-06 at 01:30 ET, followed by a doji at 02:00 ET, which signaled indecision. Later, a strong bearish reversal pattern emerged as price broke below the 20-period moving average on the 15-minute chart.
The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart are both bearish, with price trading below both. On a daily basis, the 50/100/200-period moving averages suggest a longer-term bearish bias. The MACD histogram turned negative mid-session, and the RSI dipped into oversold territory below 30, indicating potential for a bounce in the short term.
Bollinger Bands narrowed early in the session, signaling low volatility, followed by a sharp expansion as the price dropped. Price closed near the lower band, suggesting exhaustion of bearish momentum. Volume spiked during the downward leg, particularly after 2025-11-06 at 16:00 ET, where large bearish candles confirmed the breakdown. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at ~$1.94 acted as a temporary floor, but it was later breached with increasing volume.
Backtest Hypothesis
To validate the potential of buying oversold RSI entries, a backtest can be executed using a simple system: entering a long position when RSI(14) drops below 30 and exiting when RSI(14) rises above 30. This strategy can be tested on the RENDERUSDT pair from 2022-01-01 to 2025-11-06 to evaluate its historical viability. Given the recent oversold RSI reading in this 24-hour window, the strategy may have triggered a buy signal, offering an opportunity to assess its performance in similar past conditions.

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