Summary
• Price drifted lower on increasing volume, hitting a 24-hour low of $0.2183.
• A large bearish engulfing pattern formed at 0.2218–0.2192, signaling potential short-term bear momentum.
• RSI dipped into oversold territory near 28, suggesting possible near-term buying interest.
• Volatility expanded in the last 3 hours, with Bollinger Bands widening as price dropped below the 20SMA.
• Turnover surged in the final 90 minutes as the pair moved toward a new support level.
Price and Volume Context
RedStone/Tether (REDUSDT) opened at $0.2322 on 2025-12-16 at 12:00 ET and closed at $0.2256 by 12:00 ET on 2025-12-17, after hitting a high of $0.2336 and a low of $0.2183. Total volume over the 24-hour window was 2,871,863.0, with notional turnover amounting to $682,057. The pair traded in a broad downward channel, with key selling pressure emerging late in the session.
Structure and Trend
The 5-minute chart showed a bearish bias as price broke below the 20SMA and tested key support at 0.225, 0.223, and finally 0.218. A bearish engulfing pattern emerged at 0.2218–0.2192, with a closing candle at 0.2194 reinforcing the short-term bearish momentum. Daily support levels around 0.218–0.219 may now become critical as the 200SMA looms lower.
Technical Indicators
The 20-period and 50-period moving averages both crossed below the price late in the session, confirming the downward drift. MACD remained bearish with a negative crossover, while RSI dipped to 28, suggesting potential oversold conditions. Bollinger Bands widened significantly as volatility spiked, and price remained near the lower band, indicating potential mean reversion.
Volume and Turnover
Volume and turnover spiked sharply in the last 3 hours of the session, particularly in the candle ending at 16:45 ET, where price fell from $0.2192 to $0.2187 on massive volume. While the price decline continued, the rising turnover could indicate institutional or large holder selling pressure. A divergence between volume and price strength is not yet visible but should be monitored.
Key Levels and Projections
Fibonacci retracement levels from the 0.2336 high to the 0.2183 low show key retracement levels at 0.2247 (38.2%) and 0.2207 (61.8%). A bounce from the 0.218–0.219 cluster may test the 0.2217–0.2225 zone on a pullback. Conversely, a breakdown below 0.218 could target 0.216 and 0.214 in the near term.
The downward move has established short-term bearish bias, but oversold RSI suggests a potential short-term bounce could occur if volume supports a reversal. Investors should monitor whether price finds a floor at 0.218 or if further selling emerges. Volatility and volume remain elevated, indicating a high risk of continued downside in the next 24 hours.
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