Market Overview: Ravencoin/Tether (RVNUSDT) Daily Analysis

Thursday, Jan 15, 2026 2:33 pm ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- RVN/USDT fell 6.7% to $0.00753, testing key support at $0.0075–0.0076 after breaking below 20/50-period moving averages.

- Bearish momentum confirmed by RSI divergence and MACD crossover, with price hitting Bollinger Bands' lower boundary.

- $200,500 volume spike at 13:15 ET reinforced the decline, though overnight weakness suggests limited downside conviction.

- 61.8% Fibonacci level at $0.0075–0.0076 now critical for near-term direction, with potential for consolidation or further breakdown below this threshold.

Summary
• Price declined from $0.00809 to $0.00753 over 24 hours, with key support at $0.0075–0.0076.
• Strong bearish momentum confirmed by RSI and MACD divergence.
• Volatility expanded late in the session, suggesting potential for near-term consolidation or breakout.

Ravencoin/Tether (RVNUSDT) opened at $0.00808 at 12:00 ET–1 and closed at $0.00753 by 12:00 ET, reaching a high of $0.00809 and a low of $0.00742. The pair saw 255,597,210 volume with $200,431.82 notional turnover.

Structure & Moving Averages


Price action on the 5-minute chart showed a bearish breakdown below the 20 and 50-period moving averages, reinforcing a downtrend. On the daily chart, the 50- and 200-period moving averages remain untested, but the 100-period line at ~$0.0077 may cap further gains in the near term.

MACD & RSI


MACD remained in negative territory with a bearish crossover, and RSI dipped into oversold territory at 38, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce but not a reversal. Divergence between price and RSI during the afternoon session signaled weakening bullish momentum.

Bollinger Bands


Volatility expanded late in the session as price moved to the lower band at $0.0075–0.0076, indicating a possible consolidation phase or test of Fibonacci support at 61.8% of the $0.0075–0.00809 swing.

Volume & Turnover


Volume surged above $200,500 at 13:15 ET, aligning with the final leg of the decline. This confirms bearish conviction, but low volume during the overnight hours indicates limited conviction in the downside at this stage.

Fibonacci Retracements


The 61.8% Fibonacci level at $0.0075–0.0076 served as a critical support, where price found a temporary floor. A breakdown below this could target the next level at $0.0074–0.0075, while a recovery above $0.0077 may see a retest of the $0.0078–0.0079 range.

Looking ahead, price could test the $0.0075–0.0076 level for confirmation of a short-term bottom or face further bearish pressure. Investors should monitor volume for signs of exhaustion or conviction as key levels are approached.