Market Overview for Radworks/Tether (RADUSDT) – October 12, 2025

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• Price Action: RADUSDT declined from 0.504 to 0.470 during the 24-hour period, closing near the day’s lows with bearish momentum.

• Momentum Deterioration: RSI and MACD indicate weakening bullish momentum, with RSI hovering near oversold territory.

• Volatility Expansion: The 24-hour range widened significantly, reflecting increased selling pressure and distribution activity.

• Volume Divergence: Volume spiked during the downturn but failed to confirm a strong reversal, suggesting weak buyer participation.

• Pattern Formation: A bearish engulfing pattern and multiple lower shadows indicate increasing pressure from sellers.

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RADUSDT opened at 0.498 on October 11 at 12:00 ET and reached a high of 0.504 before declining to a low of 0.470, closing at 0.480 by 12:00 ET on October 12. Total volume over the 24-hour period was approximately 421,676, with a notional turnover of $201,832 (based on average price). The pair exhibited a strong bearish bias, with volume and price action confirming the downtrend.

Structure & Formations

The 24-hour chart shows a clear breakdown below key support at 0.492, followed by a rapid decline toward 0.470. A bearish engulfing pattern formed on October 11 at 18:30 ET, confirming a shift in sentiment. Several doji and lower shadows around the 0.480 level suggest sellers are maintaining control. Notable resistance levels include 0.492 and 0.501, while current support appears to be consolidating around 0.470–0.475.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period MA is below the 50-period MA, reinforcing the bearish momentum. For the daily chart, the 50-period MA is trending downward and appears to be forming a bearish crossover with the 100-period MA. The 200-period MA is also acting as a strong resistance level, currently above 0.485, suggesting further downward pressure may persist in the near term.

MACD & RSI

The MACD turned negative and remains below the signal line, indicating continued bearish momentum. RSI has fallen into oversold territory around 30, but the divergence between RSI and price suggests buyers are hesitant to step in. This could either indicate a potential bounce or a deeper sell-off, depending on how the RSI reacts over the next few candles.

Bollinger Bands

Price has spent much of the 24-hour period at the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, confirming a period of consolidation after a volatility contraction. The bands have since expanded, indicating a breakout phase. The narrowest contraction occurred around 0.475–0.477, and the price has since broken below this range, suggesting increased volatility and a potential continuation of the downtrend.

Volume & Turnover

Volume increased significantly during the afternoon and evening hours of October 11, particularly between 18:00 and 22:00 ET, as the price moved from 0.500 to 0.470. This aligns with a sharp drop in turnover, indicating possible distribution by larger participants. A divergence between price and turnover during this period suggests weak follow-through from sellers.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci to the 15-minute swing from 0.504 to 0.470, key levels include 38.2% at 0.490 and 61.8% at 0.484. Price appears to be targeting the 61.8% level, currently near 0.480–0.482. On the daily chart, the 61.8% retracement of the larger swing from 0.504 to 0.470 is also near 0.480, suggesting it could act as a potential support or consolidation level.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the current bearish bias and the key Fibonacci support at 0.480–0.482, a short-term backtest strategy could involve entering a short position on a close below this level, with a stop-loss placed above the 0.484 resistance (38.2% retracement). A target could be set at the 0.475–0.470 range, where volume and price have shown previous consolidation. This strategy would aim to capture the continuation of the downtrend while managing risk with defined stops and targets. The strategy aligns with the observed MACD and RSI behavior, which indicates ongoing bearish momentum with limited upside reversal signals.