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Summary
• QKCUSDT formed a bullish recovery from 0.004916 to 0.00515 after a sharp 24-hour drop.
• Volume surged above 20 million during key breakouts, confirming
The 24-hour candlestick session for QKCUSDT opened at 0.005008 and reached a high of 0.00515 before declining to a low of 0.004916, closing at 0.004987 as of 12:00 ET. Total volume amounted to 65.5 million contracts, with a notional turnover of approximately $327,000, indicating active trading activity. The price action revealed a strong bearish pressure early on, followed by a gradual recovery in the later hours.
On the 15-minute chart, key support levels emerged at 0.00495–0.00500, with price bouncing multiple times from this range, suggesting strong demand. Resistance levels appeared near 0.00506–0.00510, where the price repeatedly stalled or reversed. Notable candlestick patterns included bullish engulfing and evening star formations, particularly in the 21:00–23:00 ET window, indicating potential trend reversals. The 20-period and 50-period moving averages crossed below the price in the early session, reflecting bearish momentum, but later converged to signal a potential consolidation phase.
Volatility spiked between 21:00 and 23:00 ET, with Bollinger Bands expanding to indicate increased price swings. During this phase, price frequently tested the upper and lower bands, suggesting heightened market uncertainty. Notably, a divergence between price and volume occurred in the 10:00–12:00 ET window, where declining prices were accompanied by rising turnover, hinting at accumulation by long-term buyers. Fibonacci retracement levels from the 0.004916 low to the 0.00515 high showed price consolidating around the 61.8% level at 0.00504, a key psychological threshold.
Looking ahead, QKCUSDT appears poised to test 0.00506 as the next key resistance, with a potential break above confirming a short-term bullish tilt. However, a retest of the 0.00495 support remains a key risk, with a break below this level signaling renewed bearish momentum. Investors should remain cautious due to the high volatility and inconsistent momentum indicators.
In the Backtest Hypothesis section, the inability to retrieve accurate MACD data for QKCUSDT highlights the importance of data integrity in technical analysis. If the strategy relies on momentum signals such as the MACD crossover or RSI divergence, it may yield misleading results without precise historical data. One potential solution is to switch to a more liquid pair or a different symbol convention (e.g., QKC-USD or BINANCE:QKCUSDT) to ensure data availability. Alternatively, using a different momentum oscillator, such as the Stochastic RSI or TRIX, could provide a more reliable signal. The key takeaway is that robust backtesting requires accurate and consistent data, particularly for less-traded pairs like QKCUSDT.
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