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Summary
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Qtum/Tether (QTUMUSDT) opened at $1.426 on January 5 at 12:00 ET, surged to a high of $1.616, and closed at $1.481 by 12:00 ET on January 6. The pair recorded a 24-hour trading volume of 2,153,443.1 and a notional turnover of $3,316,608.76. The sharp rise was fueled by a powerful move from 1.446 to 1.616 between 00:15 and 00:30 ET.
Structure & Formations
Price tested multiple psychological and Fibonacci levels, with a decisive break above 1.540 (61.8% retracement of the Jan 5 rally). A bullish engulfing pattern formed around 00:30–00:45 ET, confirming strength above 1.540. A long upper shadow near 1.595–1.616 suggests profit-taking or resistance ahead.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period MA crossed above the 50-period MA, signaling a short-term bullish trend. Daily averages (50, 100, 200) indicate a broader uptrend, with price currently above the 200-day MA at ~$1.46.

MACD & RSI
MACD crossed above the zero line and remained positive, reinforcing bullish momentum. RSI hit 72 near the 1.616 peak, hinting at overbought conditions, but remained well above 50, suggesting buying pressure is intact.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded sharply during the 00:00–02:00 ET window, with price breaking above the upper band. It then remained within the bands for most of the session, with the lower band providing dynamic support around 1.490–1.500.
Volume & Turnover
Volume surged to over 800,000 units during the 00:15–00:30 ET window, matching the sharp upward move. Turnover also spiked, confirming the strength of the breakout. A divergence appeared in the latter half, with lower volume on a similar price move, indicating caution.
Fibonacci Retracements
The 61.8% retracement level at 1.540 was decisively breached, pushing price toward the 78.6% target at 1.563. On the daily chart, the 38.2% retracement at 1.520 provided initial support, with 1.490–1.500 acting as a critical near-term base.
The market appears to be testing the upper bounds of a multi-week consolidation pattern. A retest of 1.540–1.560 could confirm sustained bullish momentum, but a drop below 1.490 may trigger a reevaluation of the breakout. Investors should remain cautious, as volatility and overbought RSI levels suggest near-term profit-taking could pressure the price in the next 24 hours.
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