Summary
• QTUMUSDT fell 1.8% over 24 hours, forming a bearish continuation pattern with no bullish reversal signs.
• RSI and MACD confirmed bearish momentum, with RSI in oversold territory suggesting limited short-term downside.
• Volatility expanded during the early ET session but has since contracted, signaling potential consolidation.
• A key support level emerged near 1.360, with price bouncing off multiple times in late ET hours.
• Volume surged in the 00:30–01:00 ET timeframe, aligning with a sharp 1.353 low but failing to trigger a strong rebound.
Market Overview
Qtum/Tether (QTUMUSDT) opened at 1.393 on 2025-12-15 at 12:00 ET, hit a high of 1.397, and fell to a low of 1.337, closing at 1.374 on 2025-12-16 at 12:00 ET. The total 24-hour volume was 686,223.1, with notional turnover of $931,946.
Structure & Formations
The price formed a descending channel during the late ET session, with a bearish breakdown from the 1.392–1.397 resistance cluster. A key support at 1.360 held multiple times in the early morning ET, forming a potential base.
A small doji near 1.369 at 00:30 ET suggested indecision, though the move failed to reverse.
Moving Averages and Momentum
The 5-minute 20-period and 50-period moving averages were in a clear downtrend, confirming bearish bias. RSI dipped below 30 in the 02:00–04:00 ET timeframe, indicating oversold conditions, though a rebound was limited. MACD remained bearish with a narrowing histogram, suggesting fading momentum.
Volatility and Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands expanded significantly during the 00:00–02:00 ET window as the price dropped to 1.343, then narrowed in the later ET hours as consolidation set in. Price closed the 24-hour period near the lower band, suggesting potential for a retest of key support levels.
Volume and Turnover
Volume spiked at 00:30 ET with a 21077.3 trade volume, coinciding with the 1.350 low. However, the subsequent price action failed to confirm a strong reversal, indicating bearish volume action. Turnover remained relatively in line with volume, with no major divergences noted.
Fibonacci Retracements
On the 5-minute chart, the 1.381–1.369 swing saw a 61.8% retracement at 1.373, which the price approached and bounced off. Daily Fibonacci levels show 1.360 as the 38.2% retracement from the 1.397–1.337 move, with price appearing to test this level multiple times.
The market appears to be in a consolidation phase following the sharp decline from 1.397 to 1.337. A sustained break above 1.375 may suggest a short-term recovery attempt, but a retest of the 1.360 support remains a key near-term risk for bears. Investors should watch for volume confirmation on any potential bounce.
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