Market Overview for PUMP.fun/USDC (PUMPUSDC): October 13, 2025

• Price declined from a 24-hour high of $0.004496 to close at $0.004008, showing bearish momentum in late hours.
• Volatility surged in early ET hours, with a high of $0.0045 and a low of $0.004081 in the same 24-hour window.
• Volume spiked in the afternoon with over 125 million units traded, though declining into the overnight hours.
• Key support levels at $0.004081 and $0.004002 were tested, with price holding above the latter into the close.
• A possible bearish engulfing pattern formed near the $0.004465–$0.004433 level around 19:30–20:00 ET.

The PUMP.fun/USDC (PUMPUSDC) pair opened at $0.004157 on October 12 at 12:00 ET and traded as high as $0.0045 before closing at $0.004008 on October 13 at 12:00 ET. The 24-hour period saw a total volume of 742,413,913.0 units, with notional turnover reaching $3,172,761.04. Price action showed a bearish trend, especially in the overnight and early morning hours, with significant volatility and volume spikes.

Structure and formations over the 15-minute timeframe revealed a bearish bias, with key support levels appearing to hold at $0.004081 and $0.004002. A notable bearish engulfing pattern formed around 19:30–20:00 ET, suggesting short-term selling pressure. A doji candle emerged at $0.004235 around midnight, indicating indecision. The price failed to reclaim above $0.004324, which may now serve as a resistance-turned-support level in the near term.

Moving averages on the 15-minute chart show the 20-period MA above the 50-period MA in the morning hours but both trending lower by midday. On the daily chart, the 50-day MA is likely above the 200-day MA, suggesting a mixed outlook between short-term bearishness and longer-term neutrality. The 20-period MA could serve as a dynamic support level in the coming 24 hours.

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The RSI-14 on the 15-minute chart moved into oversold territory multiple times, dipping as low as 28 in the overnight hours, indicating potential for a bounce. However, the RSI failed to show a strong oversold rebound above the 40 threshold, suggesting continued bearish sentiment. MACD lines showed bearish divergences in the afternoon, with a negative crossover reinforcing the downward trend. Bollinger Bands expanded significantly after 17:00 ET, indicating rising volatility, while price remained below the lower band for several hours into the overnight session.

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Volume and notional turnover were highest between 17:00 and 19:30 ET, with a peak of 125 million units traded. Turnover spiked in line with price action, confirming bearish momentum during key declines. However, in the overnight hours, volume diminished while the price continued to fall, signaling potential exhaustion in the short term. Divergences between volume and price movement were observed near $0.004367–$0.004275, hinting at possible exhaustion in the bearish move.

Fibonacci retracement levels applied to the recent swing from $0.0045 (high) to $0.004081 (low) show that the current close at $0.004008 is near the 61.8% level, suggesting potential for a retracement or consolidation. On the daily timeframe, if a larger swing is identified, this may correspond to a key psychological support level.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the lack of direct RSI-14 data for PUMPUSDC, a backtest using RSI-14 and MACD crossover signals on similar pairs or quote currencies could be explored once the correct symbol and exchange are confirmed. For example, using the RSI-14 to identify oversold conditions (RSI < 30) and a bearish MACD crossover could form a short-bias entry strategy. This approach would need to be validated with historical data from a confirmed PUMP/USDC trading pair, ideally on an exchange like Binance or KuCoin where the pair is actively listed and reported with sufficient depth.

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