Summary
• Price action displayed a bearish reversal near $8.73 and a potential bullish rebound off $8.54.
• Momentum shifted from oversold RSI conditions to a tentative bullish bias post 05:00 ET.
• Volatility expanded significantly following a breakdown at $8.60, with volume confirming the move.
• A bullish engulfing pattern formed at the 6:00–6:30 ET window, suggesting potential upward bias.
• Price remained above 50-period MA on 5-min chart, but below 200-period MA on daily timeframe.
Market Overview
Prom/Tether (PROMUSDT) opened at $8.662 on 12:00 ET − 1 and reached a high of $8.771 before falling to a low of $8.525, closing at $8.542 on 12:00 ET. Total traded volume was 53,144.89 units, with a notional turnover of $463,753.30 over 24 hours.
Structure & Formations
Price showed a bearish reversal at the $8.73 level, marked by a long upper shadow at 19:45–20:00 ET, followed by a sharp breakdown. A bullish engulfing pattern emerged at 06:00–06:30 ET, which could signal a short-term rally from $8.54 to $8.69. Support appears to be consolidating near $8.54–$8.58, with a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $8.65 serving as a potential resistance.
Technical Indicators
The RSI dipped into oversold territory near $8.54 but has shown a tentative recovery toward neutral levels, suggesting possible bullish momentum. The MACD turned positive around 05:00 ET, aligning with a price rebound. Bollinger Bands expanded during the breakdown, indicating increased volatility. Price remains above the 50-period MA on the 5-min chart but remains below the 200-period MA on the daily chart.
Volume and Turnover
Volume spiked during the breakdown at $8.60–$8.54, confirming the bearish move, while turnover remained elevated. A divergence was observed during the recovery phase, with rising price and declining turnover suggesting weaker conviction.
Looking ahead, a test of the $8.65 resistance could trigger a pullback, with the 61.8% Fib acting as a watchpoint. Investors should monitor for a sustained close above $8.65 as a bullish signal. However, volatility remains elevated, and caution is warranted in the short term.
Comments
No comments yet