Summary
• Price action broke below key support at 1.72 after a failed attempt to retest 1.735.
• Momentum turned bearish, with RSI hitting oversold levels and MACD showing bearish divergence.
• Volatility spiked mid-session, but turnover failed to confirm strength, signaling weak conviction.
• Bollinger Bands widened sharply during the downturn, indicating heightened market fear.
• A large engulfing bearish pattern formed near 1.73, confirming the shift in sentiment.
DOTUSDT ended at 1.694 after opening at 1.737, with a 24-hour high of 1.753 and a low of 1.66. Total volume reached 4,567,693.32 and turnover hit 7,829,438.73. The pair is testing critical support levels amid rising bearish momentum.
Price Structure and Key Levels
Polkadot/Tether (DOTUSDT) formed a bearish breakdown over the past 24 hours, with price retreating from a 1.73–1.74 cluster of resistance. A large bearish engulfing pattern near 1.73–1.737 signaled a shift in sentiment, and price failed to retest this zone with conviction. Key support now appears to be testing at 1.695–1.70, with a potential pivot point at 1.71 if buyers step in.
Trend and Momentum Signals
On the 5-minute chart, the 20 and 50-period moving averages are in a steep bearish crossover, while the 50-period line is now below 1.72. The RSI dropped into oversold territory below 28, and MACD turned bearish with a negative crossover. This suggests a lack of short-term buyers but could also indicate a potential bounce if 1.695 holds. The divergence in MACD and weak RSI recovery may signal a continuation of the downward trend.
Volatility and Bollinger Bands
Volatility surged mid-session following the breakdown from 1.73–1.74, with Bollinger Bands expanding significantly. Price action has remained near the lower band for much of the past four hours, suggesting increased bearish pressure. This volatility expansion often precedes consolidation or a retracement, though the current momentum appears to favor a test of lower support levels.
Volume and Turnover Analysis
Volume and turnover spiked during the initial breakdown but have since declined, indicating reduced conviction in the move. The largest volume spike occurred at 1.73–1.737, where sellers overpowered buyers. The subsequent decline in turnover without a reversal suggests a continuation of bearish momentum, but traders should remain cautious as divergence in volume could hint at a near-term pause.
Forward-Looking Observations
DOTUSDT may test 1.695 as a key support level over the next 24 hours. A break below this could extend the move toward 1.68–1.67, with potential retracements at 1.71 (38.2%) and 1.73 (61.8%) offering short-term resistance on any rebound. Traders should watch for a failure to retest 1.73 or a failure to hold above 1.695 as critical signals. Risk remains to the downside if volatility continues and support fails to hold.
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