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Summary
• Price dropped from $1.91 to $1.826, breaking key support levels.
• High volume and turnover during the 15:00–16:30 ET sell-off indicate strong bearish momentum.
• RSI shows oversold conditions, suggesting potential near-term bounce.
• Bollinger Band contraction occurred before the sharp decline, hinting at a possible reversal.
• Key support at $1.86 and resistance at $1.89 identified via Fibonacci and price action.
Market Overview
Polkadot/Tether (DOTUSDT) opened at $1.902 and traded as high as $1.955 before closing at $1.836 at 12:00 ET. The 24-hour low was $1.814. Total volume was 5.05 million units, with $8.89 million in turnover.
Structure & Formations
Price action formed a bearish engulfing pattern during the early morning decline, followed by a long bearish candle at 15:00 ET. The breakdown below the 20-period moving average and a series of lower highs indicate strong bearish control. A key support level appears to have formed near $1.86, with resistance at $1.89 and $1.93 based on Fibonacci retracements and recent highs.
Technical Indicators
MACD turned bearish in the late afternoon, with the signal line crossing below the histogram as price dropped. RSI approached oversold territory, dipping below 30 after the 16:30 ET bar, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce. Bollinger Bands experienced a slight contraction before the sharp selloff, hinting at a possible reversal.
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Volume & Turnover
Turnover surged during the 15:00–16:30 ET window, with over $3.1 million in trading volume as price fell from $1.93 to $1.826. The high volume confirmed the bearish move, but diverging price and lower volume in the subsequent recovery suggest caution.
Volatility & Momentum
Volatility expanded significantly during the selloff, with Bollinger Bands widening after a contraction phase. The RSI and MACD both indicate weakening momentum, with price action likely to test the 1.82–1.84 range for further support.
Polkadot appears to have broken a key support level, and while a bounce from oversold RSI is possible, a continuation of the bearish trend into the next 24 hours cannot be ruled out. Investors should closely monitor the $1.86 level, as a break below that may trigger further declines.
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