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Summary
• Price drifted lower on weak volume, closing near session low at 0.03922.
• Momentum eased in final hours, suggesting potential consolidation ahead.
• Volatility expanded early, then narrowed, hinting at cautious positioning.
PAX Gold/Bitcoin (PAXGBTC) opened at 0.03967 on 2025-11-07 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of 0.03968 and a low of 0.0384. The 24-hour session closed at 0.03922 as of 2025-11-08 at 12:00 ET. Total traded volume was 81.13
, and notional turnover amounted to 3.157 BTC (based on weighted price).The price action suggests a bearish bias as the pair drifted below key support levels. A bearish engulfing pattern formed early in the session, followed by a succession of lower closes on diminishing volume. Price found temporary support around 0.0385, where it consolidated before retracing higher in the final hours. This pattern may indicate a short-term pullback but remains vulnerable to further downside.
Bollinger Bands showed a modest contraction during the overnight session, indicating reduced volatility, but expanded again during the Asian session, reflecting renewed interest. The closing price near the upper band in the final candle suggests buyers may be attempting to re-enter. RSI remains within neutral territory, but the lack of strong momentum implies that a breakout may require confirmation.
Volume and turnover were highest during the early hours, with a noticeable drop-off after 02:00 ET. This suggests that the bulk of selling pressure had already occurred, potentially setting the stage for a short-term rebound. However, price and volume divergence after 18:00 ET raises caution, as buyers were unable to push price back above the 0.0393 resistance level.

Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the most recent 15-minute swing (from 0.03968 to 0.0384), price is currently near the 76.4% retracement level at 0.03923, suggesting a possible turning point. A move above this level may attract additional buyers, while a retest of the 0.0387–0.0388 zone could reignite bearish sentiment.
Backtest Hypothesis
To implement a backtesting strategy for PAXG/BTC, we require access to the correct historical price data for the pair. The attempted retrieval of the RSI for “PAXGBTC” returned no results, likely due to a mismatch in symbol naming (e.g., “BINANCE:PAXGBTC” or exchange-specific naming conventions) or incomplete historical coverage. Moving forward, we can either:
A) Specify the exact exchange and ticker symbol (e.g., BINANCE:PAXGBTC) for a retrial of the data pull, or
B) Upload a custom historical price file (CSV or JSON) to proceed with manual calculation of RSI and strategy execution.
If either of these options is preferred, please indicate the symbol or file for continued analysis.
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