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Summary
• Price traded in a narrow range (0.9972–0.9996) with a late break below 0.999.
• A large bearish 5-minute candle at 07:00 ET confirmed downward momentum.
• Volume surged during the decline, confirming bearish bias.
• RSI and MACD showed weakening bullish momentum.
• Bollinger Bands showed low volatility pre-07:00, followed by sharp expansion.
Pax Dollar/Tether (USDPUSDT) opened at 0.9995 on 2025-12-08 12:00 ET and traded as high as 0.9996 before closing at 0.9990 at 2025-12-09 12:00 ET, with a low of 0.9972. Total volume reached 3,198,914.0 and notional turnover was 3,192,738.0.
Structure & Formations
Price spent much of the session within a narrow 0.9991–0.9995 range, with a significant bearish breakout occurring after 07:00 ET. A large 5-minute candle at 07:00 ET gapped down from 0.9996 to close at 0.9989, signaling strong bearish pressure. No strong candlestick reversal patterns were observed, and no clear support or resistance levels held during the decline.
Technical Indicators
The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 5-minute chart remained above the price, indicating a bearish bias.

Volume and Turnover
Trading volume surged sharply after 07:00 ET, particularly during the large bearish candle, indicating strong conviction in the move lower. Notional turnover also spiked during this period, aligning with the price action. No clear divergence between price and volume was observed, as both confirmed the bearish trend.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci levels to the 5-minute move from 0.9996 to 0.9972, the 61.8% retracement level is at approximately 0.9985. Price is currently testing the 50% retracement level at 0.9984, suggesting potential for further downside if this level fails.
The market appears to be in a bearish phase with a break of key support at 0.9990. If this trend continues, the next target may be the 61.8% retracement level at 0.9985. However, a retest of key resistance above 0.9990 could signal a reversal, particularly if volume and momentum diverge. Investors should remain cautious and watch for any signs of a bounce or renewed bearish continuation.
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