Summary
• Price tested key support near 1.94 and rebounded with bullish 5-minute engulfing patterns.
• Momentum waned after an initial RSI overbought spike, suggesting potential pullback.
• Volatility increased around 06:00 ET, with volume surging on sharp countertrend bounces.
• Bollinger Bands widened post-06:00 ET, aligning with a 1.95–1.953 consolidation range.
• Fibonacci retracement levels at 1.946 and 1.953 acted as strong turning points.
PancakeSwap/Tether (CAKEUSDT) opened at 1.943 on 2026-01-08 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of 1.969, and a low of 1.925, closing at 1.966 by 12:00 ET on 2026-01-09. Total volume for the period was 629,764.19, with a turnover of $1,282,588.67.
Structure & Formations
Price found strong support at 1.94 and 1.946, with several bullish 5-minute engulfing patterns observed in the early morning ET. A bearish engulfing pattern emerged briefly around 09:00 ET but failed to hold. A long lower shadow at 1.933 suggested rejection of further bearish momentum.
Moving Averages
The 5-minute 20SMA and 50SMA crossed near 1.946, reinforcing its role as a short-term support level. Daily 50/100/200SMA alignment remains neutral, with price hovering just above the 200-day SMA, indicating a potential sideways bias.
MACD & RSI
RSI spiked into overbought territory around 1.958 before retreating, hinting at possible exhaustion in the bullish move. MACD crossed above the signal line around 06:00 ET, supporting a short-term bullish case, though divergence emerged after 14:00 ET.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded significantly post-06:00 ET, with price breaking out of a tight band range into a wide 1.94–1.959 channel. Price has since consolidated between the 20-period upper and lower bands, suggesting a possible reversal or pullback.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked sharply during the early morning ET breakout, especially around 06:30–07:30 ET, confirming strength. However, a divergence between volume and price was observed in the afternoon, with rising volume failing to push the price higher, indicating caution.
Fibonacci Retracements
Key 5-minute retracement levels at 1.946 (38.2%) and 1.953 (61.8%) showed strong reactions. Daily swing retracements from 1.925–1.969 suggest potential resistance at 1.958 (61.8%), currently holding as a pivot.
Price may continue to consolidate within the 1.94–1.959 range over the next 24 hours, with a potential test of 1.958 as resistance. Investors should watch for divergence between volume and price, especially if the 1.94 support is broken.
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