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Summary
• Price declined from 0.0609 to 0.0591, forming a bearish engulfing pattern at 1745 ET.
• Volatility expanded during the 2345–0000 ET period, with a large volume-driven drop.
• RSI approached oversold levels, but volume divergence suggests caution.
• Bollinger Bands widened significantly, indicating heightened uncertainty.
• No clear short-term support level was tested, with 0.0585 showing initial resistance to buying.
Osmosis/USDC opened at 0.0609 at 12:00 ET − 1 and closed at 0.0591 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of 0.0609 and a low of 0.0570. Total volume was 1,024,417.25, with a turnover of approximately $59,377. The pair saw a sharp bearish reversal following a volatility spike late in the session.
Structure & Formations
A bearish engulfing pattern formed at 1745 ET, confirming downward momentum. A doji at 2045 ET reflected indecision, but it was quickly followed by a sharp sell-off.

Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, price closed below both 20-EMA and 50-EMA, suggesting short-term bearish bias. The 50-EMA on the daily chart is near 0.0600, and price remains below that level, indicating a continuation of the broader downtrend.
MACD & RSI
MACD turned negative mid-session, reflecting fading bullish momentum. RSI dropped into oversold territory near 30, but volume during this decline was weak, signaling potential fakeouts or exhaustion rather than genuine buying interest.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility increased sharply between 2345 ET and 0000 ET, with Bollinger Bands widening as price dropped from 0.0598 to 0.0592. Price closed near the lower band, suggesting possible near-term support but also highlighting uncertainty in direction.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked at 2345 ET with a 19,671.13 turnover in OSMO, driving the sharp decline. Notional turnover during that period was the highest of the session. However, volume during the recovery attempt later in the night was muted, indicating weak conviction.
Fibonacci Retracements
Fibonacci levels drawn from the 0.0609 to 0.0570 swing showed 0.0585 at 38.2% and 0.0591 at 50%, both of which coincided with recent activity. Price found resistance at the 38.2% level, which may now act as a pivot point. The market may consolidate near 0.0585–0.0591 in the near term, but large volume spikes and divergence suggest caution. Investors should watch for a break of 0.0585 as a potential signal of further bearish momentum.
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