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• OPUSDT declined from 0.7127 to 0.7179 amid increasing bearish momentum, with RSI suggesting oversold conditions.
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The Optimism/Tether USDt (OPUSDT) pair opened at 0.7111 on 2025-09-05 at 16:00 ET, rose to a high of 0.7233 before the 12:00 ET close on 2025-09-06, and closed at 0.7179. The total volume over the 24-hour period was 13,627,007.36, with a notional turnover of $9,629,899.76.
OPUSDT formed a bullish harami pattern at 04:00–04:15 ET, suggesting potential short-term correction. A large bearish engulfing pattern followed at 06:45–07:00 ET, indicating bearish momentum. The price action shows key support at 0.7167 and resistance at 0.7211, with a potential continuation of bearish sentiment if the pair fails to reclaim the 0.7233 high.
The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart crossed bearishly, with the price trading below both. The RSI reached 28, suggesting oversold conditions, while the MACD crossed below the signal line with a bearish divergence, reinforcing the downward bias.
Price closed near the lower Bollinger band at 0.7179, suggesting potential for a short-term rebound. Fibonacci retracement levels from the 0.7127 to 0.7233 swing show 0.7167 (38.2%) as a critical support area and 0.7147 (61.8%) as a deeper level of interest.
Volume spiked at the 0.7233 high, with a turnover of $136,587.19, indicating strong resistance. Notional turnover increased by 40% during the 19:30–23:00 ET window as the price tested key levels. However, volume declined after the 0.7197 low, signaling waning bullish conviction.
Using the observed 15-minute MACD cross and RSI divergence, a potential backtesting strategy could involve a short entry at the close of the bearish engulfing pattern at 07:00 ET, with a stop loss above the 0.7206 high and a target at the 0.7147 Fibonacci level. This setup would align with the bearish momentum and oversold conditions, offering a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.5. Testing this strategy across similar bearish setups over the past 30 days could provide insight into its robustness and viability.
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