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• Ontology/Tether (ONTUSDT) closed 0.0871, +0.75% from 0.0865, showing strong bullish momentum after a sharp afternoon rally.
• Price broke through 0.0865 and tested 0.0876, with high volume confirming key breakout levels.
• RSI climbed into overbought territory, and MACD showed a strong positive crossover.
• Bollinger Bands expanded during the afternoon surge, signaling rising volatility.
• Turnover spiked over $28 million at the peak, indicating strong institutional or large-cap participation.
Ontology/Tether (ONTUSDT) opened at 0.0848 on 2025-10-31 12:00 ET and closed at 0.0871 by 12:00 ET on 2025-11-01, with an intraday high of 0.0881 and a low of 0.0838. Total traded volume reached 1,908,729.58 ONT, while notional turnover amounted to approximately $166.3 million during the 24-hour period.
The 15-minute chart displayed a powerful reversal pattern after the 0.0856 resistance was cleared around 20:00 ET. A bullish engulfing candle followed the breakout, with strong volume confirmation. The 20-period and 50-period moving averages crossed above the price, indicating a strong upward bias. The price action also aligned with key Fibonacci retracement levels (38.2% at 0.0859 and 61.8% at 0.0866) during the afternoon rally, suggesting a technical validation of the move.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) hit overbought territory above 65 during the late afternoon push, indicating potential exhaustion of the short-term upswing. However, the MACD histogram remained positive and growing, supporting the idea that bullish momentum was still intact. The 20-period and 50-period Bollinger Bands showed a sharp expansion during the rally, suggesting increased volatility, while the price remained comfortably above the 20-period moving average.
Volume and notional turnover surged sharply after 18:45 ET when the price moved above 0.0856, with several large-volume bars confirming the breakout. The highest turnover occurred around 0.0881 during the late afternoon rally, with over $28 million in turnover at that level. Price and volume were in strong alignment during this phase, reducing the risk of a reversal. However, a divergence began to emerge in the final 2 hours as volume declined slightly while price remained near highs, signaling the need to monitor for a potential consolidation or pullback.
Backtest Hypothesis
The backtesting strategy described aims to evaluate the performance of trades triggered by the price hitting a specific resistance level (0.0886) since 2022. Given the price action on this 24-hour chart, where ONTUSDT tested and briefly exceeded 0.0881 (close to the 0.0886 level), the strategy appears relevant. The key issue is the unavailability of a full price series, which is necessary to identify all such events. To proceed, either a retry with a different ticker symbol (e.g., ONT/USDT or ONTUSDT.BINANCE) or a manual input of confirmed 0.0886 touchpoints would be required. Based on today’s momentum, if the 0.0886 level is hit again in the near future, it could serve as a natural entry or exit point for the strategy, depending on its directional bias.
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