Market Overview for OFFICIAL TRUMP/Yen (TRUMPJPY)

Summary
• Price dropped from 779.0 to 760.0 before rallying to 773.0 at 12:00 ET.
• Notable volume surge of 2,587.73 occurred at 11:45 ET, confirming the rebound.
• RSI showed oversold conditions early in the period before momentum reversed.
• Bollinger Bands tightened before a sharp price rebound.
• No strong reversal patterns formed, but a key support at 760.0 held.

24-Hour Summary

At 12:00 ET–1 on 2025-12-25, the OFFICIAL TRUMP/Yen (TRUMPJPY) opened at 779.0 and dropped to a 24-hour low of 760.0. It closed at 773.0 at 12:00 ET on 2025-12-26 after a late surge. Total volume was 2,858.63 and turnover was 2,031,634.78 over the period.

Structure & Formations

The price moved down in a series of bearish 5-minute bars before stabilizing at 760.0, a key support. A strong bullish reversal was observed at 11:45 ET, with a large green bar forming above 760.0, suggesting buyers may be entering. The pattern does not yet qualify as a full bullish engulfing but shows momentum reversal.

Moving Averages

The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 5-minute chart crossed below key support levels early in the session, reinforcing the bearish bias. On the daily chart, the 50/100/200 lines are not clearly defined due to the lack of daily data, but the 5-minute data suggests a short-term reversal may be forming.

MACD & RSI

The RSI dipped into oversold territory near 30 as the price reached 760.0, signaling potential for a rebound. The MACD histogram showed a divergence at the bottom, with the price continuing to fall while momentum started to build. This supports the view that a reversal could occur after the 11:45 ET bar.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility was compressed before the sharp 11:45 ET move, with price trading near the lower band for much of the session. The bands expanded as the price surged back up, indicating renewed short-term volatility.

Volume & Turnover

Volume remained muted for much of the session, with many 5-minute bars showing zero volume. However, the 11:45 ET bar recorded a massive 2,587.73 units, confirming the rebound. Notional turnover spiked to 2.0 million Yen at that time, aligning with price movement and suggesting institutional participation.

Fibonacci Retracements

The 760.0 level corresponds to a 61.8% retracement of the prior bullish swing from 760.0 to 779.0, making it a critical support. The price bounced strongly off this level, suggesting it may act as a floor in the near term.

Looking ahead, the 773.0 close at 12:00 ET suggests buyers are in control for now. A break above 778.0 could confirm the reversal, while a drop back below 760.0 would reignite bearish pressure. Investors should remain cautious, as the asset appears to be consolidating in a volatile range.