Market Overview for OFFICIAL TRUMP/Tether (TRUMPUSDT)

Sunday, Jan 18, 2026 7:00 pm ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- TRUMPUSDT fell from $5.409 to $5.166, forming bearish engulfing and shooting star patterns near key resistance levels.

- RSI entered oversold territory (<30) amid heightened volatility, while Bollinger Bands expanded as price approached the lower band.

- Volume surged during the breakdown below $5.34, confirming bearish momentum as price traded near 24-hour low of $5.152.

- Fibonacci levels at $5.29 and $5.22 may act as short-term support/resistance, with further downside risk if $5.22 breaks.

Summary
• Price declined from $5.409 to $5.166, forming bearish engulfing and shooting star patterns near key resistance.
• RSI reached oversold territory below 30, suggesting potential short-term bounce amid high volatility.
• Volume surged during the breakdown below $5.34, confirming bearish sentiment and a shift in momentum.
• Bollinger Bands expanded as price traded near the lower band, reflecting increased downside risk.
• Fibonacci levels at $5.29 and $5.22 may act as short-term support/resistance in the next 24 hours.

The 24-hour trading session for OFFICIAL TRUMP/Tether (TRUMPUSDT) began at $5.409 and closed at $5.166, with a high of $5.417 and a low of $5.152. Total volume reached 1,294,014.29 and turnover amounted to $6,412,559.05. A prolonged bearish bias emerged as price broke below critical support levels, accompanied by a significant increase in trading activity.

Structure & Formations


Price formed a bearish engulfing pattern near $5.41 and a shooting star at $5.373, signaling distribution. A breakdown below the key support at $5.34, confirmed by a high-volume candle, suggests bearish momentum may continue.

Moving Averages and Momentum


The 5-minute 20- and 50-period moving averages remain in a bearish crossover, while the daily 50/200 SMA indicates further room to the downside.
The RSI dipped into oversold territory (<30), hinting at potential consolidation or a short-term rebound.

Bollinger Bands and Volatility


Volatility expanded sharply after the breakdown, with price closing near the lower Bollinger Band. This suggests heightened bearish pressure and potential for further consolidation or a countertrend move.

Volume and Turnover


Volume spiked during the breakdown at $5.34, with a 5-minute candle printing 173,975.28 units of volume. Turnover aligned with the move, confirming bearish conviction. Divergences in turnover were not observed during the recovery attempts.

Fibonacci Retracements


Fibonacci levels from the $5.417 high to the $5.29 low show key retracements at $5.34 (38.2%) and $5.29 (50%), which may act as short-term support. A test of the $5.22 (61.8%) level could follow if bears remain dominant.

In the next 24 hours, a retest of the $5.29–$5.34 range may provide an opportunity for a short-term bounce, but risks remain to the downside if $5.22 breaks. Investors should monitor volume and RSI for signs of exhaustion or reversal.