Market Overview for Oasis/Tether (ROSEUSDT) – 24-Hour Analysis as of 2025-09-26

• ROSEUSDT declines sharply from 0.02505 to 0.02410 before recovering into late ET.
• Strong bearish momentum in early hours, followed by gradual bullish reversal.
• RSI hit oversold levels before recovery, suggesting potential consolidation.
• Volume surges in both bearish and bullish phases, confirming key moves.
• Price remains within a tight range, with no clear break above 0.0251 or below 0.02405.

Oasis/Tether (ROSEUSDT) opened at 0.02496 on 2025-09-25 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of 0.02527, and a low of 0.02380 before closing at 0.02522 as of 2025-09-26 at 12:00 ET. The pair recorded a total volume of approximately 132,931,165.3 and a notional turnover of roughly $3,345,720.79 over the past 24 hours.

Structure & Formations

ROSEUSDT traded within a defined range over the 24-hour period, with a notable bearish breakdown in the early part of the session. A strong bearish move between 17:00–18:30 ET saw the price drop from 0.02473 to 0.02393, forming several bearish engulfing patterns and confirming a short-term bearish bias. Later in the session, a reversal began as the price retested key support levels and formed bullish harami and inside bar patterns around 0.02440–0.02450, signaling potential buying interest.

A notable doji formed at 201500 ET near 0.02410, indicating indecision and a possible reversal. The price has since found a temporary equilibrium between 0.02450 and 0.02510, suggesting that 0.02450 and 0.02510 could serve as key support and resistance levels, respectively.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-EMA and 50-EMA have crossed into bearish alignment during the early bearish phase but have recently moved into a bullish crossover. This indicates a potential shift in momentum favoring the bulls, although the 50-EMA remains above the 20-EMA, suggesting a mixed signal. The 50-EMA appears to act as a dynamic support level around 0.02470, while the 200-day MA, if visible, would likely confirm a broader bullish bias if above current price levels.

On the daily chart, the 50-EMA is currently below the 100-EMA and 200-EMA, indicating a bearish trend in the broader context. However, the recent 15-minute rally could hint at a short-term reversal within a larger consolidation phase.

MACD & RSI

The MACD line turned bullish in the late hours, forming a positive crossover with the signal line around 0.02490. The histogram has expanded to the upside, suggesting growing bullish momentum. The RSI, which hit oversold levels (below 30) in the early part of the session, has since risen to mid-50s, indicating a potential short-term bottoming process. However, the RSI is not yet in overbought territory (above 70), leaving room for further upside before a reversal might be expected.

Bollinger Bands

ROSEUSDT spent a significant portion of the session near the lower Bollinger Band, particularly in the early bearish phase, confirming a period of low volatility. As the price recovered, it moved toward the middle band and is now approaching the upper band. This suggests a potential volatility expansion phase and increased trading activity around the 0.02510–0.02520 level. A break above the upper band could signal a continuation of the rally, while a pullback to the lower band may test key support levels again.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked during the sharp bearish phase, with a notable 15-minute candle at 201500 ET showing a volume of 2.37 million, suggesting strong bearish conviction. The subsequent bullish reversal also saw increased volume, particularly between 210000–230000 ET, with large buying volumes confirming the reversal. Notional turnover increased in tandem with volume, and no significant price-volume divergence was observed during the session, implying strong alignment between price action and buying/selling pressure.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the key 15-minute swing from 0.02473 (17:00 ET) to 0.02393 (18:15 ET), the price has retested the 61.8% level (0.02435) and is now approaching the 78.6% (0.02461) and 88.6% (0.02486) levels. The 100% level at 0.02473 could act as a potential resistance if the current bullish move continues. On the daily chart, the 61.8% retracement of the broader move from the 0.02380 low to the 0.02527 high is around 0.02457, which may be a critical support/resistance level for the next 24 hours.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the observed structure and momentum shifts, a potential backtest strategy could involve entering long positions on a bullish candle close above 0.02460 with a stop below the recent low at 0.02440 and a target at the 0.02510–0.02520 upper Bollinger Band level. This setup would capitalize on the recent reversal and increasing momentum, supported by RSI divergence and volume confirmation. A short-term bearish counter-trend trade could also be considered on a close below 0.02440, targeting the 0.02420–0.02410 range with a stop above 0.02460.

Looking ahead, ROSEUSDT appears poised for a potential bullish continuation from recent lows, supported by rising momentum and bullish pattern formation. However, the price is still near key resistance levels, and any failure to break above 0.02520 could lead to a consolidation phase. Investors should remain cautious for potential volatility and divergence in the next 24 hours.