Market Overview for NOTUSDT on 2025-09-16

• Notcoin/Tether surged to $0.001874 before consolidating toward $0.001850.
• A 0.36% price gain was supported by a 27.5% volume increase relative to previous levels.
• MACD crossed above zero, suggesting a short-term bullish momentum.
• RSI hovered near 55, indicating neutral momentum without overbought or oversold signals.
• Bollinger Bands showed a modest expansion, suggesting increased volatility.

Price Action and Volume Profile

On 2025-09-16 at 12:00 ET, Notcoin/Tether (NOTUSDT) opened at $0.00185, reached a high of $0.001874, and closed at $0.001853, with a low of $0.001846 during the 24-hour window. Total volume was 155,790,550, and notional turnover amounted to approximately $286,783. The price action reflected a modest but consistent upward bias amid elevated volume in the early part of the session.

Structure & Formations

Key support levels emerged around $0.001850, while resistance became apparent near $0.001870–0.001874. A notable bullish engulfing pattern formed around 21:00 ET, suggesting a short-term reversal. Additionally, a doji candle appeared at 02:45 ET, indicating indecision and a potential consolidation phase.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the price closed above the 20-period and 50-period moving averages, reinforcing the bullish bias. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA crossed above the 100-period and 200-period MAs, forming a golden cross, which is typically a bullish sign. The 50-period MA currently sits at $0.001858, while the 200-period MA is at $0.001851.

MACD & RSI

The 12(26,9) MACD crossed above the zero line during the early evening, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The histogram displayed a bullish divergence in the 3- to 4-hour window, suggesting strength. The RSI has remained within the 50–55 range, indicating that while the rally is not overbought, it has sufficient energy to extend further. A move above 61.8 could suggest a momentum acceleration.

Bollinger Bands

Price has spent the majority of the session within the Bollinger Band channels, with a modest expansion observed around 01:00 ET. The band width increased by approximately 12% during the early morning hours, reflecting a period of increased volatility. The price has since returned to the mid-band region, suggesting a period of consolidation.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked significantly in the late evening hours, reaching a peak of 13,396,230, followed by a sharp decline. Notional turnover mirrored this pattern, peaking at $24,400 at 00:30 ET. Despite the high volume, price did not break decisively above $0.001874, indicating some resistance to further upward movement. A divergence between volume and price could signal a potential retest of $0.001850 in the next 24 hours.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci levels to the recent swing high at $0.001874 and swing low at $0.001846, key retracement levels lie at $0.001861 (38.2%) and $0.001853 (61.8%). The 61.8% level appears to be holding well as a support zone. If the price breaks below $0.001850, it may test the $0.001835–0.001840 area, which is another critical retracement level.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the observed bullish momentum, golden cross, and key Fibonacci support levels, a possible backtesting strategy could involve a long entry at the close above the 50-period moving average (around $0.001858), with a stop-loss placed below $0.001845 and a take-profit target aligned with the 61.8% retracement at $0.001861. This strategy could be backtested using a 15-minute time frame, with trailing stops activated upon the formation of a bullish engulfing pattern. A successful execution would require a balance between momentum confirmation and volume divergence signals for a more robust signal.