Market Overview for Notcoin/Tether (NOTUSDT) – October 9, 2025

• NOTUSDT broke key resistance at $0.00162–0.00163 before retreating into consolidation near $0.001562.
• Momentum faded sharply after an overbought RSI spike, hinting at near-term profit-taking.
• Volatility expanded in the morning before a sharp contraction, pointing to short-term indecision.
• Bollinger Bands show the price settling within the lower half of the channel, suggesting bearish pressure.
• Turnover spiked above $1.5B at peak, but volume failed to confirm strength near $0.00164.

24-Hour Summary and Price Action

Notcoin/Tether (NOTUSDT) opened at $0.001564 on October 8 at 12:00 ET and reached a high of $0.001677 before closing at $0.001562 at 12:00 ET on October 9. The pair experienced a 24-hour trading range between $0.001512 (low) and $0.001677 (high). Total trading volume amounted to approximately 1,070,245,408.0 USDT, with notional turnover estimated at over $1.5 billion at peak.

Structure & Key Levels

The price formed a bullish engulfing pattern near $0.001632–$0.001641 but failed to follow through, giving way to a bearish reversal pattern as the price pulled back below key support at $0.00161–$0.00162. A potential short-term support level appears near $0.00156, with resistance retesting expected at $0.001585–0.00159. A doji formed near $0.001664, indicating indecision and likely a turning point for the short-term trend.

Moving Averages and Fibonacci

On the 15-minute chart, the price crossed above the 20-period MA at key moments but remained below the 50-period MA for much of the session, signaling mixed momentum. On the daily chart, the 200-period MA appears to form a critical long-term support zone at $0.00154–$0.00156. Fibonacci retracements suggest the $0.001585 and $0.00156 levels could act as dynamic pivots for the next 24 hours.

Momentum and Volatility Metrics

RSI peaked at 68–70 in the morning, signaling overbought conditions and likely triggering profit-taking. MACD showed a bearish crossover in the afternoon as momentum weakened. Bollinger Bands exhibited a notable expansion from $0.00156 to $0.001677 during the morning, followed by a contraction as the price settled near the lower band, suggesting potential bearish pressure. The price remains within the upper and lower bands, but the narrowing channel could precede a breakout or breakdown.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential strategy for NOTUSDT involves entering long positions when price closes above the 50-period moving average on the 15-minute chart, confirmed by a bullish engulfing pattern and RSI above 50. A stop-loss is placed below the nearest Fibonacci support level (e.g., 38.2% retracement), with a target at the next major resistance level. This approach may be useful in capturing short-term momentum swings, though volatility and sudden pullbacks require careful risk management. Backtesting over the past 30 days would help quantify win rate and expectancy.