Summary
• Price tested key resistance at $0.00053 but retreated, forming bearish divergence on RSI.
• Volatility expanded after 20:00 ET, with a 4.3% intraday range.
• Volume spiked over 49 million at 20:15 ET, confirming bearish breakdown from 0.000529.
• A bullish harami at 06:30 ET hinted at consolidation ahead of recovery.
• Bollinger Band squeeze resolved at 19:45 ET, preceding sharp price move to $0.000529.
Price and Volume Snapshot
The Notcoin/Tether (NOTUSDT) pair opened at $0.000523 on 2025-12-19 at 12:00 ET, peaked at $0.000533, touched a low of $0.000517, and closed at $0.000522 on 2025-12-20 at 12:00 ET. Total volume reached 311,441,126 and turnover amounted to $160,953, suggesting moderate accumulation amid volatility.
Structure and Momentum
A strong bearish breakdown below $0.000529 at 20:15 ET was confirmed by a large bearish candle with high volume. Price attempted a recovery in the early morning but failed to retake key resistance at $0.00053, where RSI showed bearish divergence. A bullish harami at 06:30 ET hinted at short-term consolidation, while the 50-period moving average on the 5-minute chart remained above price, suggesting potential for a rebound.
Volatility and Bollinger Bands
Volatility surged as the Bollinger Band squeeze resolved at 19:45 ET, leading to a breakout and a 1.6% move within an hour. Price spent much of the session near the upper band, indicating strong buying interest but with limited follow-through. The 20-period Bollinger Band width reached a daily high of 0.000018, signaling heightened near-term uncertainty.
Volume and Turnover Dynamics
Volume spiked dramatically at 20:15 ET with 49.5 million traded, confirming the bearish breakdown from resistance. However, turnover failed to match the strength of that candle, suggesting mixed conviction. . Later in the session, volume declined as price drifted sideways, indicating a cooling of aggressive trading interest.
Fibonacci and Key Levels
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.000525 held briefly during a mid-session bounce but failed to attract follow-through buyers. Price has since consolidated around the 50-period moving average on the 5-minute chart, which now sits at $0.000523.
The next 24 hours may see renewed attempts to test the $0.00053 level on the back of the morning’s consolidation. However, bearish RSI divergence and waning turnover suggest caution is warranted, with a risk of another pullback below $0.00052 if volume fails to pick up on the next push higher.
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