Market Overview for Notcoin/Tether (NOTUSDT) as of 2025-10-27

• Price surged to 0.000862 intraday before consolidating near 0.000841
• High volume (78M) and turnover (6.87) during 02:00–05:00 ET
• Volatility expanded after 00:15 ET with a bullish breakout and retest
• RSI briefly overbought but failed to sustain momentum
• Bollinger Band contraction followed by a reversal in early morning

The NOTUSDT pair opened at 0.00084, surged to a high of 0.000875, and closed at 0.000841 by 12:00 ET. Total 24-hour volume reached 78,967,462, with a notional turnover of approximately 68.74. The price action displayed a distinct consolidation pattern after a sharp morning rally, suggesting a potential key level near 0.00084.

Structure & Formations

The 15-minute chart revealed a bullish engulfing pattern at 02:30 ET, where price surged above a prior bearish candle. A key support at 0.000835 was tested twice, with the second attempt showing weaker rejection. A doji formed at 03:45 ET, signaling indecision after the initial rally. Resistance appears to be forming near 0.000865, where price stalled during the morning high.

Moving Averages

The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart crossed into bullish alignment after 01:00 ET, supporting the morning rally. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA is above the 100- and 200-period MAs, reinforcing a longer-term bullish bias. Price closed above the 50-period MA for the second consecutive day.

MACD & RSI

The RSI rose above 60 during the morning surge, reaching a high of 72, but failed to close above 65. This suggests overbought conditions without confirmation of a strong breakout. The MACD histogram showed positive divergence during the rally, but the line flattened as volume waned. This indicates possible exhaustion in the near-term move.

Bollinger Bands

Price expanded beyond the upper Bollinger Band during the 02:00–04:00 ET period, signaling a breakout. However, it retested the band and pulled back. The current price action is consolidating near the 20-period MA, which now lies within the Bollinger Band channel. A retest of the lower band at 0.000832 may be possible if volatility increases.

Volume & Turnover

The most significant volume spike occurred at 04:30 ET with a turnover of 6.87, confirming the morning rally. However, volume declined afterward, suggesting reduced conviction. A divergence between price and volume is visible in the late morning, with price rising while volume wanes. This could foreshadow a pullback unless a strong buy wall emerges near 0.000845.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci to the 03:30–05:30 ET swing, price appears to have tested the 61.8% retracement at 0.000845 before reversing. A retest of the 38.2% level at 0.000837 may be imminent if the pair consolidates further. On the daily chart, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent high aligns with the 0.000835 level, a key short-term support.

Backtest Hypothesis

To confirm the strength of the morning breakout, a MACD-based 5-day-hold backtest using the NOTUSDT pair would be ideal. However, due to the data provider's inability to locate NOTUSDT, the strategy cannot proceed. Confirming the symbol or providing an alternative will allow us to retrieve the necessary MACD signals. This could help validate whether the morning rally was a genuine breakout or a false signal. Given the current structure and volume, a confirmed long entry on a break above 0.000845 with a stop below 0.000835 could be a viable near-term trade.